3 ETH price charts predict a sharp move to $4K is brewing

3 hours ago

Ether’s (ETH) futures and spot markets are sending mixed signals arsenic futures positioning builds, but the altcoin’s terms fails to marque caller highs. Data suggested that ETH traders are adding to their vulnerability adjacent arsenic spot buying underpins the recovery.

Key takeaways:

Ether’s estimated leverage ratio fell from an all-time precocious of 0.79 connected Jan. 2 to 0.67 by Jan. 11, contempt rising unfastened interest.
Aggregate spot CVD accrued with the rally, indicating spot-led request with a bullish positioning bias.

Ether unfastened involvement rebounds, but the terms lags

Aggregated unfastened involvement (OI) for Ether futures has returned to levels seen earlier its 38% drawdown successful Q4 2025, portion ETH inactive trades astir 27% beneath its October 10, 2025, opening price. This divergence suggests traders are rebuilding exposure.

Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Markets, Derivatives, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch

Supporting this view, Ether’s estimated leverage ratio peaked astatine 0.79 connected Jan. 2 earlier falling to 0.67 by Jan. 11. While OI continues to rise, the diminution successful leverage pointed to healthier positioning and a little hazard of cascading liquidations.

Meanwhile, the latest rally has been driven by rising spot cumulative measurement delta (CVD), alternatively than the futures CVD. This indicates nett marketplace buying successful the spot market, which is typically associated with much durable terms moves. The long/short accounts ratio holding adjacent 2.66 reflects a bullish skew, without signs of traders aggressively jumping into the market.

ETH Staking flows, and macro signals adhd tailwinds

Onchain information shows increasing semipermanent conviction. Lookonchain reported that BitMine staked 110,000 ETH worthy $340 cardinal connected Jan. 12, bringing its three-week full to astir $3.7 billion. At a 2.8% yield, this could make astir $95 cardinal successful ETH annually for the company.

From a marketplace operation constituent of view, Max, CEO of BecauseBitcoin, noted that the Russell 2000 has historically led ETH into terms discovery. With the scale hitting a caller all-time precocious astatine 2,664, conditions whitethorn favour enlargement for ETH successful the coming weeks.

Echoing that view, crypto capitalist Jelle said Ether turning a large play absorption into enactment “feels beauteous big,” adding that a beardown higher debased aft past year’s clang leaves $4,000 arsenic the cardinal hurdle. Above it, ETH “could yet person its moment,” noted the investor.

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