AI Models Predict Ethereum Cycle Top At $15,000: Analyst

In an August 10 video titled “My End Of 2025 ETH Price Prediction (Using AI) — You’re Not Bullish Enough!”, crypto expert Miles Deutscher said Ethereum’s latest breakout supra the “very cardinal level successful the $4,000 zone” has shifted the marketplace into what helium views arsenic a confirmed, structurally stronger beforehand toward caller all-time highs. “We really did get a regular close,” helium noted, adding that the play adjacent supra the aforesaid region—something Ethereum “hasn’t closed supra connected the play since November 2021”— underscores the value of the move. In Deutscher’s framework, that adjacent is “confirmation for a overmuch bigger run.”

How High Can Ethereum Go?

Deutscher centered the analysis connected a elemental question—how precocious tin Ethereum go—and answered it with a blend of method discourse and model-driven probabilities. Before invoking AI, helium sketched an “eye test” way successful which terms find unfolds “well into this scope present betwixt $6,000 to $8,000,” arguing that Ethereum is efficaciously “playing catch-up” aft lagging different apical assets that already printed caller highs.

He adjacent floated a directional benchmark—“I deliberation the terms prediction is going to beryllium $7,000”—before deferring to probability distributions arsenic a much disciplined mode to size the upside. To that end, helium ran 2 large-language models connected a shared acceptable of inputs, asking for likelihood of circumstantial terms bands by the extremity of 2025 and past by the extremity of 2026.

On his telling, the archetypal model’s 2025 highest probabilities favored continuation: astir a three-in-four accidental to revisit the anterior precocious adjacent $4.7k, astir sixty-plus percent to wide $5k, astir 30 percent to scope $6k, high-single-digits to breach $7.5k, and astir 1 percent to tag $10k this year.

Expanding the model done 2026 raised those likelihood materially, to what helium summarized arsenic precocious assurance successful $4.7k–$5k, better-than-even likelihood for $6k, and astir forty percent for $7.5k, with a non-trivial tail—“even present 10k positive it’s giving an 18% probability to.”

Running the aforesaid workout connected Grok produced a much assertive contour. As Deutscher relayed it, Grok’s “base lawsuit could precise good beryllium $10,000,” with an $8,000–$15,000 set arsenic a plausible cycle-top range.

He quoted the model’s method guardrails explicitly: “A interruption supra $4,800 signals caller all-time precocious pursuit. Drop beneath $3,800 could invalidate the bullish thesis.” By contrast, his ain trading invalidation skews tighter to trend, cautioning that “if Ethereum drops beneath the wealth noodle connected the daily, which close present is astir similar $3,400, I deliberation structurally this could commencement to invalidate the bullish determination astatine slightest successful the abbreviated term,” portion “as agelong arsenic we support supra $4,000, we are successful the pursuit of that anterior all-time high.”

Headwinds For Ether

The projection stack rests connected a macro-to-micro concatenation of tailwinds that Deutscher argued present favors Ethereum much straight than successful anterior cycles. He cited consistently positive ETF flows—“around $17 cardinal of nett inflows into the crypto ETFs implicit the past 60 days, $11 cardinal coming successful the period of July alone,” with peculiar traction connected the ether side—alongside anticipated retirement-account entree to crypto that could unlock what helium called a “massive excavation of caller buyers.”

He framed caller US argumentation steps arsenic a near-term accelerant for on-chain finance, saying the GENIUS Act clarified attraction for a acceptable of crypto assets and “regulates immoderate of the cardinal unchangeable coins,” thereby widening the aperture for organization output strategies and tokenization. In his view, those are specifically Ethereum-centric maturation funnels due to the fact that “Ethereum is the biggest blockchain facilitating plus tokenization and DeFi,” which makes ETH “the fig 1 proxy for anyone looking to get vulnerability to this narrative.”

Deutscher besides paired the flows statement with market-structure observations: stablecoins astatine caller highs, terms resilience marked by “sell-offs… comparatively short-lived,” and a crook successful bitcoin dominance that, if it persists, historically precedes broader alt rotation with ETH astatine the fulcrum.

None of this, helium stressed, implies a consecutive line. Deutscher expects the rhythm to oscillate done rotations—bitcoin strength, an ether catch-up, past a higher-beta alt expansion—rather than a azygous monolithic “altseason.”

He adjacent penciled successful a apt second-leg model into 2026, aligning with governmental and monetary calendar points, portion cautioning that “you ne'er cognize what’s going to happen” and emphasizing the request for wide invalidations.

Still, the directional decision is unambiguous: the operation of structural inflows, regulatory clarity astir on-chain finance, and Ethereum’s method authorities displacement leaves him biasing to the upside. “This would beryllium hard momentum to dilatory down successful the abbreviated to mid-term,” helium said, adding that the existent “FOMO” signifier astir apt begins lone erstwhile ETH is successful terms find supra its $4,800 peak.

At property time, ETH traded astatine $4,303.

ETH price, 1-week illustration | Source: ETHUSDT connected TradingView.com

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