Bitcoin ‘bear market confirmed’: Watch these BTC price levels next

1 hour ago

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin onchain information reveals that the marketplace could beryllium entering a macro downtrend.

  • The intelligence level astatine $100,000 remains the main BTC enactment for now.


Bitcoin (BTC) fell to four-month lows of $98,900 connected Tuesday, arsenic analysts accidental that BTC was “transitioning into a carnivore market.”

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that Bitcoin terms enactment has established a caller scope connected little clip frames, and marketplace observers are watching the pursuing cardinal enactment levels below.

Bitcoin is entering a carnivore market

Private wealthiness manager Swissblock stated that the Bitcoin risk-off awesome destabilized arsenic selling unit intensified implicit the past fewer days. 

Swissblock highlighted that the indicator is “still wrong a low-risk regime,” arsenic shown successful the illustration below.

Related: Bitcoin shows exhaustion arsenic analysts accidental $125K people improbable successful 2025

However, “if it transitions into a high-risk, it would awesome a imaginable inclination shift,” the backstage wealthiness manager said, adding:

“If the indicator enters and stays successful a high-risk, it would suggest that Bitcoin is transitioning into a carnivore market, marking a structural alteration alternatively than a short-term correction.”
Bitcoin risk-off signal. Source: Swissblock

Echoing this observation, onchain information supplier Glassnode pointed out that the monthly backing paid by longs successful Bitcoin perpetuals has declined by astir 62%, from $338 cardinal per period successful mid-August to $127 cardinal per period arsenic of Tuesday.

This signals reduced bullish leverage, which often precedes terms tops and hints astatine a imaginable bearish displacement successful the broader marketplace trend.

Glassnode said:

“This underscores a wide macro downtrend successful speculative appetite, arsenic traders turn reluctant to wage involvement to support agelong exposure.”
Bitcoin perpetual marketplace directional premium. Source: Glassnode

“Bear marketplace confirmed,” said expert Mikybull Crypto successful a Wednesday X station highlighting the breakout of the USDt (USDT) marketplace dominance from an inverse head-and-shoulders signifier successful the play clip frame. 

“Similar enactment successful erstwhile cycles led to a carnivore market,” Mikybull Crypto said successful a follow-up post.

USDT marketplace headdress dominance, %. Source: Mikybull Crypto

A breakout successful USDT dominance would awesome rising stablecoin preference, indicating hazard aversion and superior exiting BTC and different cryptocurrencies.

This volition typically unit BTC terms downward successful the abbreviated term, reflecting bearish crypto marketplace sentiment and imaginable further declines arsenic superior is sidelined.

Watch these Bitcoin terms levels next

The latest sell-off has seen the BTC/USD brace gully down 20% from its all-time precocious supra $126,000

Bitcoin has besides dropped beneath the short-term holders’ outgo ground of astir $113,00, a operation that has historically preceded the onset of a mid-term bearish phase, arsenic recent buyers proceed to capitulate

Bitcoin has present “lost the enactment astatine the 85th percentile outgo basis” astir $109,000, said Glassnode successful a Tuesday station connected X, adding:

“The adjacent cardinal level sits astir the 75th percentile outgo ground (~$99K), which has historically provided enactment during pullbacks.”
Bitcoin’s hazard indicator based connected proviso quantiles outgo ground model. Source: Glassnode

“$BTC Now broke beneath its 10th of October low,” Trader Daan Crypto Trades said successful a Tuesday station connected X, referring to the Oct. 10 crypto marketplace crash that sent Bitcoin to $103,500 successful Bitstamp.

“This is the past large level earlier the $98K debased from the Middle Eastern warfare fud backmost successful June.”

The Bitcoin liquidation heatmap reveals a precocious attraction of liquidations adjacent the June lows, astir $98,000, with the yellowish country indicating a clump of leveraged positions, suggesting it’s a cardinal enactment level.

If $98,000 is broken, it could spark a liquidation squeeze, forcing abbreviated sellers to adjacent positions and driving prices to $95,000, wherever the adjacent large liquidity clump lies.

BTC/USDT 24-Hour Liquidation Heatmap (Binance). Source: CoinGlass

On the upside, inquire orders are gathering up astir $102,500, with the adjacent large clump betwixt $103,000 and $105,000. 

As Cointelegraph reported, selling by semipermanent Bitcoin holders, capitulation by short-term holders, and a regular candlestick close beneath the $100,000 intelligence level could propulsion BTC’s terms down to arsenic debased arsenic $72,000.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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