Bitcoin bounces to $76K, but data suggests BTC price downtrend is not over

1 month ago

Bitcoin (BTC) traded arsenic precocious arsenic $76,900 connected Wednesday, up 4.5% supra its 15-month debased of $72,860, reached connected Tuesday. However, determination are expanding signs that Bitcoin’s terms could acquisition a deeper correction implicit the pursuing weeks oregon months.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin confirms bearish method patterns connected aggregate clip frames, risking a deeper correction toward $60,000.

  • Bitcoin’s Puell Multiple could enactment successful the discount portion longer, indicating a continuation of the downtrend.

  • A surge successful BTC inflows to Binance could supply bears with substance for a deeper pullback.

Bitcoin’s illustration technicals people sub-$60,000

The BTC/USD brace had confirmed a head-and-shoulders (H&S) signifier connected its play chart, informing of a deeper correction ahead.

The terms broke beneath the neckline of the H&S signifier astatine $82,000 connected Saturday, to proceed the downward inclination with a measured people of $52,650. 

Related: Next Bitcoin accumulation signifier whitethorn hinge connected recognition accent timing: Data

Such a determination would bring the full losses to 31% from the existent level and the drawdown from the $126,000 all-time precocious to 58%.

BTC/USD play chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Crypto expert BitcoinHabebe said that Bitcoin’s driblet toward the H&S pattern’s people astatine $60,000 was “obvious,” owed to a myriad of macroeconomic headwinds.

Others, meanwhile, enactment distant adjacent little targets. The H&S setup is simply a “very scary picture,” said expert 0xLanister successful a Wednesday station connected X, adding: 

“Bitcoin terms volition driblet to $40,000.”

Traders besides spotted the confirmation of a carnivore emblem signifier connected the regular terms illustration aft cardinal enactment levels were lost.

“Bear emblem confirmed connected Bitcoin,” erstwhile the past enactment astatine $78,000 failed to hold, said expert Merlijn Trader successful a caller X post, adding:

“Next liquidity magnet is $65,500.”
BTC/USD regular chart. Source: Merlijn Trader

As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin could proceed its downtrend to arsenic debased arsenic $58,000 arsenic determination are fewer catalysts for present to reverse the trend.

Bitcoin metric indicates “continuation of bearish trend”

Bitcoin appears to beryllium successful “accumulation” territory, according to the Puell Multiple, which tracks miners’ regular gross against the yearly average. It has extended its diminution into the discount zone, pursuing Bitcoin’s latest driblet to 15-month lows beneath $73,000

“The indicator has been successful this scope for astatine slightest 3 months, since November 2025,” said CryptoQuant expert Gaah successful a QuickTake analysis connected Tuesday.

The mean play the indicator remains successful the discount portion is astir 200 days, Gaah said, adding:

“We are halfway done the period, indicating a continuation of the bearish inclination successful terms BTC.”
Bitcoin Puell Multiple and terms comparison. Source: CryptoQuant

Lower prices besides mean that Bitcoin miners stay nether unit with little revenues. This could beryllium the “perfect substance for tiny entrepreneurs successful the assemblage to unopen down machines and capitulate to screen expenses,” Gaah added.

This is evidenced by decreasing miner reserves, which person been declining implicit the past 4 years to 1.8 cardinal BTC astatine the clip of writing.

“If terms continues to decline, this effect intensifies, expanding unit to merchantability miners' reserves.”
Bitcoin miner reserve. Source: CryptoQuant

Additionally, Bitcoin’s full web hash rate has dropped 12% since the November 2025 highs, the largest diminution since 2021, which suggests imaginable miner capitulation underway astatine existent prices.

Bitcoin mining hashrate. Source: Blockchain.com

Large BTC inflows to Binance rise alarm

Daily BTC inflows to Binance reached 15,709 connected Tuesday, the highest speechmaking since Nov. 21, 2025, based connected onchain data. Historically, akin inflow peaks, specified arsenic the 1 recorded successful November, person been followed by crisp downward moves successful price.

This surge suggested that holders are actively preparing to de-risk, oregon capitulate, pursuing its driblet beneath cardinal enactment levels.

Bitcoin speech inflow (total) to Binance. Source: Glassnode

“BTC inflows trigger FUD arsenic selling unit builds connected Binance,” said CryptoQuant expert Darkfost successful a Wednesday station connected X, referring to precocious measurement Bitcoin transfers to the speech connected Monday and Tuesday.

“Over those 2 days, betwixt 56,000 and 59,000 BTC were sent to Binance, representing a existent selling unit connected the spot market,” Darkfost said, adding:

“This suggests that we are entering a signifier of capitulation and panic arsenic BTC becomes oversold, a discourse that has historically often allowed for the enactment of a bottom, some successful the abbreviated word and implicit longer horizons.”

With the marketplace attempting to unafraid enactment supra $74,000, Binance’s increasing inventory should interest the bulls. Until the excess proviso is absorbed, the recovery could beryllium short-lived.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision. While we strive to supply close and timely information, Cointelegraph does not warrant the accuracy, completeness, oregon reliability of immoderate accusation successful this article. This nonfiction whitethorn incorporate forward-looking statements that are taxable to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph volition not beryllium liable for immoderate nonaccomplishment oregon harm arising from your reliance connected this information.

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