Bitcoin can still hit $160K by Christmas with ‘average’ Q4 comeback

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Bitcoin terms weakness has bully likelihood of flipping “positive yet little volatile” successful the coming months, says caller research.

Bitcoin tin  inactive  deed  $160K by Christmas with ‘average’ Q4 comeback

Key points:

  • Bitcoin tin reverse its latest slump to deed caller all-time highs successful the adjacent 4 months, based connected humanities performance.

  • Research says that the outlook for Bitcoin betwixt present and Christmas is “positive yet little volatile.”

  • The existent dip whitethorn beryllium “frontrunning” accepted September BTC terms downside.

Bitcoin (BTC) faces mean gains of 44% by Christmas arsenic analysts play down the interaction of a deeper BTC terms correction.

Research from web economist Timothy Peterson, released connected X this week, predicts “positive” show for BTC/USD successful Q4.

Bitcoin investigation plays with $160,000 target

Bitcoin traditionally sees its weakest gains successful September, a period that BTC/USD has ne'er finished more than 8% higher.

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Despite that, Peterson, who regularly compares show implicit aggregate bull markets, remains optimistic.

“Exactly Four Months Until Christmas. How does Bitcoin fare during this time? Up 70% of the time. Average summation +44%,” helium summarized.

That mean upside would enactment Bitcoin astatine $160,000 by the past week of 2025, information from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirms.

Peterson acknowledges that specified expectations are much a line than a rule, with assorted nonconformant years implicit Bitcoin’s lifetime.

“However, I deliberation immoderate years bash not person market/economic conditions comparable to 2025. I would exclude 2018, 2022, 2020, and 2017 arsenic uncharacteristic years,” helium concluded.

“This skews the result to favoring affirmative yet little volatile performance.”
Bitcoin Q4 show comparison. Source: Timothy Peterson/X

Bitcoin “frontrunning” modular September blues

Elsewhere, others are unfazed by the existent BTC terms weakness, which has seen the lowest levels since aboriginal July instrumentality this week.

Related: Bitcoin Q2 dip similarities ‘uncanny’ arsenic Coinbase Premium flips green

Popular trader Donny told X followers that BTC/USD is “frontrunning” accepted September downside.

“The standard is antithetic — but the result is the same. Much higher,” helium forecast portion comparing terms enactment to the 2017 bull market. 

BTC/USDT bull marketplace comparison. Source: Donny/X

Donny added that helium saw BTC/USD copying golden aft a play of lag — a classical narration that has continued to play out successful caller years.

BTC/USD vs. XAU/USD one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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