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Bitcoin risks a further drop toward the $70,000 country if the Bank of Japan follows done with an expected interest-rate emergence connected Dec. 19, analysts focused connected macro forces warned.
According to aggregate macro-focused voices, the determination could sap planetary liquidity and enactment caller downward unit connected hazard assets, with immoderate traders already bracing for a crisp pullback.
Japan’s argumentation shift matters due to the fact that higher rates thin to fortify the yen and rise the outgo of borrowing. When that happens, traders who antecedently borrowed cheaply successful yen to put elsewhere are often forced to unwind those positions.
That process tin propulsion wealth retired of planetary markets successful a abbreviated play of time, and Bitcoin has often felt that interaction arsenic investors chopped vulnerability during risk-off stretches.
BOJ Tightening Drains Global Liquidity
According to AndrewBTC, each BOJ hike since 2024 has coincided with Bitcoin drawdowns of much than 20%. Based connected reports, the expert pointed to declines of astir 23% successful March 2024, 26% successful July 2024, and 31% successful January 2025.
🚨 BREAKING: JAPAN WILL CRASH $BTC
Bank of Japan is acceptable to hike rates +25 bps connected Dec 19. Japan = largest holder of US authorities indebtedness 🇯🇵
📉 Look astatine the $BTC chart:
Every BoJ complaint hike → Bitcoin dumps implicit 20%+👇
• March 2024 → -23%
• July 2024 → -26%
• January 2025 →… pic.twitter.com/grN3QRNUg4
— AndrewBTC (@cryptoctlt) December 13, 2025
Traders are not lone watching cardinal slope calendars. Bitcoin’s regular illustration besides flashed a classical carnivore emblem enactment aft a steep autumn from the $105,000–$110,000 country successful November.
Market Positioning Widens Ahead Of Key Data
Bitcoin slipped beneath $90,000 successful bladed trading connected Sunday, a determination that traders took arsenic a cautionary motion alternatively than a definitive trigger. Based connected reports, Ether held up amended than galore altcoins, suggesting selective hazard taking successful the market.
Traders are positioning earlier a engaged slate of US information and cardinal slope events that could sway flows. Analyst EX bluntly warned BTC volition illness “below $70,000” nether the stated macro conditions, a stark forecast that highlights however crowded bets tin amplify moves erstwhile liquidity is pulled.
EVERY TIME JAPAN HIKES RATES, BITCOIN DUMPS 20–25%
NEXT WEEK, THEY WILL HIKE RATES TO 75 BPS AGAIN.
IF THE PATTERN HOLDS, $BTC WILL DUMP BELOW $70,000 ON DECEMBER 19.
POSITION ACCORDINGLY. pic.twitter.com/IWU8JbXjn3
— ΞX (@rektbyEX) December 13, 2025
What This Means For Investors
The communicative tying BOJ argumentation to Bitcoin’s swings is elemental successful outline: erstwhile backing costs successful Japan rise, planetary borrowing becomes pricier, and hazard assets tin beryllium sold arsenic positions are reduced.
That dynamic helps explicate wherefore past BOJ moves lined up with 20-30% declines successful Bitcoin. Still, markets often effort to terms events up of time; a hike that’s already built into prices whitethorn person a smaller effect than 1 that comes arsenic a surprise.
Featured representation from Nikkei Asia, illustration from TradingView
English (US) 