Bitcoin could outperform stocks in 2022 amid Fed tightening — Bloomberg analyst

2 years ago

The FOMC minutes connected Wednesday revealed that policymakers mean to measurement up their combat against ostentation successful 2022.

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Bitcoin could outperform stocks successful  2022 amid Fed tightening — Bloomberg expert

The Federal Reserve’s signaling for tighter monetary argumentation successful 2022 could supply short-term headwinds for hazard assets specified arsenic stocks and cryptocurrency, but there’s a bully accidental that Bitcoin (BTC) inactive comes retired connected apical arsenic investors admit its worth arsenic a integer reserve asset, according to Bloomberg commodity strategist Mike McGlone. 

The January variation of Bloomberg’s Crypto Outlook described the Federal Reserve’s program to rise involvement rates successful 2022 arsenic a imaginable “win-win script for Bitcoin [versus] the banal market.” The reasons stem from the information that the S&P 500 Index is presently the astir overextended supra its 60-month moving mean successful implicit 2 decades and that Bitcoin is seeing increasing mainstream entreaty arsenic an ostentation hedge.

“Stretched markets person go common, but commodities and Bitcoin look to beryllium aboriginal reversion leaders,” McGlone said. “It's a question of bull-market duration, and we spot the benchmark crypto coming retired ahead.”

Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s December argumentation meeting revealed connected Wednesday that cardinal bankers are acceptable to aggressively curb their stimulus enactment much rapidly than antecedently expected. The plan, astatine slightest for now, includes 3 involvement complaint hikes successful 2022 accompanied by a simplification successful the Fed’s equilibrium sheet, which presently stands astatine astir $8.3 trillion successful Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities.

Markets whitethorn beryllium overreacting short-term but looking beyond hard to overestimate however hawkish the Fed minutes were.

QE simplification + 3 hikes OK, but 3 hikes + accelerated QT was not successful anybody's radar.

— Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) January 6, 2022

Although stimulus simplification is usually considered antagonistic for hazard assets, a wide class that includes equities and cryptocurrencies, McGlone believes Bitcoin is successful a unsocial presumption to outperform successful this environment:

“Cryptos are tops among the risky and speculative. If hazard assets decline, it helps the Fed's ostentation fight. Becoming a planetary reserve asset, Bitcoin whitethorn beryllium a superior beneficiary successful that scenario.”

Within the broader cryptocurrency market, the Bloomberg expert said helium expects the “enduring trio” — namely Bitcoin, Ether (ETH) and dollar-pegged stablecoins — to support dominance passim the year. 

BTC/USD is successful a wide downtrend that has accelerated pursuing the merchandise of the FOMC minutes. 

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed a crisp diminution successful the worth of Bitcoin connected Wednesday pursuing the merchandise of the Federal Open Market Committee gathering minutes. The flagship cryptocurrency plunged beneath $43,000 for the archetypal clip since September and is presently down 8% implicit the past 24 hours.

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