Bitcoin has 100 days to go ‘parabolic’ or end its bull market: Analysis

Key points:

• Bitcoin is owed for a breakout aft grounds Bollinger Bands “tightness” — but the absorption remains unknown.

• According to history, the script typically resolves wrong astir 3 months.

• BTC terms enactment is teasing the commencement of a caller “price find uptrend.”

Bitcoin (BTC) whitethorn flip “parabolic” oregon extremity its bull marketplace wrong the adjacent 100 days, says a caller BTC terms volatility analysis.

In an X post connected Wednesday, fashionable trader Tony “The Bull” Severino concluded that Bitcoin’s adjacent determination hinges connected the Bollinger Bands volatility indicator.

BTC terms faces a caller breakout dilemma

Bollinger Bands, a classic volatility gauge that functions arsenic a starring indicator for price, precocious deed grounds “tightness” connected weekly timeframes.

Analysts person been watching for a follow-through terms breakout, either done the precocious oregon little outer Band.

Severino present warns that specified a determination whitethorn not travel immediately, but could instrumentality much than 3 months.

“For now, BTCUSD has failed to interruption retired supra the precocious set with strength,” helium summarized.

“According to past section consolidation ranges, it could instrumentality arsenic agelong arsenic 100+ days to get a valid breakout (or breakdown, if BTC dumps instead).”

BTC/USD one-week illustration with Bollinger Bands data. Source: Tony “The Bull” Severino/X

The clip framework is based connected erstwhile Bollinger Band breakouts implicit the people of the bull market, which began successful aboriginal 2023.

Severino explains that a cleanable interruption done either of the Bands with a azygous regular candle would beryllium the cardinal signal, but that fake breakout moves could besides occur.

“Beware: expanding from a Squeeze setup similar this tin pb to caput fakes. We mightiness person seen 1 with this latest move,” helium continued, referring to Bitcoin’s latest all-time precocious supra $126,000.

“We besides mightiness spot different caput fake down from present earlier yet taking disconnected higher.”

Bitcoin ”price find uptrend” next?

As Cointelegraph reported, erstwhile bull markets person led marketplace participants to expect a blow-off apical for BTC/USD successful October.

Related: BTC October terms breakout likelihood low: 5 things to cognize successful Bitcoin this week

Price action, however, has yet to show the accelerated upside diagnostic of the last signifier of bull runs. 

Popular trader and expert Rekt Capital, who reported the deadline for the top, past period observed that BTC terms cycles are getting longer, not shorter.

“It's improbable Bitcoin has already peaked successful its Bull Market due to the fact that that would efficaciously mean that this rhythm was 1 of the shortest of each time,” helium correctly argued astatine the time, portion $124,500 was inactive the all-time high.

This week, Rekt Capital announced the imaginable commencement of a caller “price find uptrend.”

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) October 6, 2025

Severino, meanwhile, believes that the Bollinger Bands breakout volition person a profound interaction connected the bull market. He wrote:

“This has the imaginable to nonstop Bitcoin parabolic, oregon enactment an extremity to the 3 year’s mature bull rally.”

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.