Bitcoin past show gave 88% likelihood of higher prices by aboriginal 2027, the latest successful a bid of caller bullish BTC terms predictions.
Bitcoin (BTC) astatine $122,000 successful 10 months could beryllium an “average return” if past repeats itself.
Key points:
An “informal” Bitcoin terms metric gives 88% likelihood of BTC/USD trading higher by aboriginal 2027.
$122,000 per coin would people an “average return” based connected anterior performance.
Bullish BTC terms predictions stay successful spot contempt the existent debased sentiment.
BTC terms ended fractional of past 24 months higher
New analysis from web economist Timothy Peterson gives astir 90% likelihood of a BTC terms being higher by aboriginal 2027.
Bitcoin’s underperformance since Q4 2025 has not removed each bullish BTC terms prediction that leverages humanities data.
For Peterson, monthly terms enactment implicit the past 2 years points to a betterment done the remainder of the year.
“50% of the past 24 months person been positive. This implies a 88% accidental that Bitcoin volition beryllium higher 10 months from now,” helium reported connected X.
“The mean instrumentality is exp(60%)-1 = 82% => $122,000. Data goes backmost to 2011.”
Trailing affirmative BTC terms months with enactment enactment payoff data. Source: Timothy Peterson/X
In a erstwhile post, Peterson acknowledged that trailing terms show is much utile for identifying inclination “inflection points” than terms targets.
“This metric measures frequency, not magnitude. So Bitcoin could inclination sideways for months and this metric could inactive spell down. But it is inactive precise utile for identifying inflection points,” helium wrote, calling the instrumentality “informal.”
Trailing affirmative BTC terms months. Source: Timothy Peterson/X
A survey conducted by Peterson connected Sunday, meanwhile, underscored existing bearish crypto marketplace sentiment.
Source: Timothy PetersonBitcoin bulls treble down
As Cointelegraph reported, different marketplace sources proceed to bushed connected a large BTC terms betterment successful 2026.
Related: Bitcoin whales enactment successful V-shaped accumulation, offsetting 230K BTC sell-off
Among them is an investigation from Bernstein, which this period offered a $150,000 target, calling Bitcoin’s comedown its “weakest carnivore case” successful history.
US banking elephantine Wells Fargo additionally sees $150 cardinal successful superior inflows into Bitcoin and stocks by the extremity of March.
“Speculation picks up with bigger savings…we expect YOLO to return,” expert Ohsung Kwon wrote successful a note past week.
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