Bitcoin miners capitulation passes, but spiking hash rate keeps pressure on

1 year ago

On October 3, the Bitcoin hash rate soared to a caller all-time precocious of 244.25 EH/s. Commenting connected this, Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao said, “miners cognize thing we don’t.”

Two days later, the hash complaint surged yet again, smashing the erstwhile grounds to people a caller all-time precocious of 314.58 EH/s, further signaling miner assurance contempt increasing terms uncertainty amid crypto winter.

Meanwhile, since the November 2021 marketplace top, mining trouble has besides accrued but not to the aforesaid magnitude seen successful hash complaint increases – each of which squeezes the miners’ bottommost line.

The concern is further compounded by Bitcoin continuing to commercialized astatine comparatively debased prices.

Bitcoin Mining Revenue slumps

The Miner Revenue per Exahash illustration beneath shows a dependable semipermanent downtrend successful gross successful some dollar and BTC terms.

Currently, BTC-denominated rewards travel successful arsenic debased arsenic 4 BTC per day. This equates to astir $80,000 a time successful gross per exahash, which is connected par with revenues seen successful precocious 2020 erstwhile Bitcoin was astir $10,000.

Meanwhile, mining trouble has accrued alongside the hash rate, meaning it’s present much demanding and competitory to excavation BTC profitably than ever before.

Bitcoin mining gross  per exahashSource: Glassnode.com

Hash Ribbons

Hash Ribbons are calculated from the 30-day and 60-day Simple Moving Averages (SMA) of the Bitcoin hash rate. Analysts usage this metric to find periods of miners’ distress and frankincense tin beryllium utilized to foretell capitulation.

The illustration beneath shows the marketplace has near a two-month-long capitulation play that ended astir September. The capitulation play whitethorn person been a origin successful Bitcoin’s continual driblet beneath and consequent recapture of the $20,000 level connected galore occasions successful caller weeks.

During precocious August, the 30-day SMA crossed supra the 60-day SMA, which saw an uptick successful hash rate. When this improvement occurs, the terms usually tends to rise, arsenic seen during BTC’s tally to $69,000 successful November 2021.

However, speech from a rally betwixt September 7-11, the BTC terms did not prolong an uptrend this clip round.

Bitcoin Hash Ribbon chartSource: Glassnode.com

Miner Net Position Change

Miner Net Position alteration refers to the 30-day complaint of alteration successful Bitcoin miners’ unspent supply. Net affirmative readings equate to miners holding onto tokens, whereas nett antagonistic is erstwhile miners merchantability into the market.

The illustration beneath shows a nett antagonistic organisation of tokens since mid-August. During September peaks, selling deed arsenic precocious arsenic -9,000.

Since then, determination has been a noticeable drop-off successful organisation with a existent nett presumption alteration of -4,500.

Miner Net Position ChangeSource: Glassnode.com

The station Bitcoin miners capitulation passes, but spiking hash complaint keeps unit on appeared archetypal connected CryptoSlate.

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