Bitcoin needs weekly close above $81K to avoid downside ahead of FOMC

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Bitcoin needs to adjacent supra the cardinal $81,000 play level to debar much downside volatility up of adjacent week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which volition connection investors much cues connected the Federal Reserve’s monetary argumentation for 2025.

Bitcoin (BTC) terms fell implicit 3% during the past week, to commercialized supra $83,748 arsenic of 9:33 a.m. successful UTC, Cointelegraph Markets Pro information shows.

Bitcoin terms continues to hazard important downside volatility owed to increasing macroeconomic uncertainty astir planetary commercialized tariffs,  according to Ryan Lee, main expert astatine Bitget Research.

BTC/USD, 1-year chart. Source: Cointelegraph

Closing the week supra $81,000 volition beryllium cardinal to debar much Bitcoin downside, the expert told Cointelegraph, adding:

“The cardinal level to ticker for the play adjacent is $81,000 range, holding supra that would awesome resilience, but if we spot a driblet beneath $76,000, it could invitation much short-term selling pressure.”

The analyst's comments travel days up of the adjacent FOMC gathering scheduled for March 19. Markets are presently pricing successful a 98% accidental that the Fed volition support involvement rates steady, according to the latest estimates of the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

Source: CME Group’s FedWatch tool

The result of the gathering whitethorn importantly interaction Bitcoin capitalist sentiment, said Lee, adding:

“The marketplace mostly expects the Fed to clasp rates steady, but immoderate unexpected hawkish signals could enactment unit connected Bitcoin and different hazard assets.”

“Even a dovish surprise, similar a complaint cut, mightiness not beryllium the contiguous boost immoderate are hoping for, arsenic investors are inactive weighing macro uncertainties,” added the analyst.

Related: US Rep. Byron Donalds to present measure codifying Trump’s Bitcoin reserve

Bitcoin adjacent supra $85k whitethorn reignite capitalist optimism for much upside: analyst

Other analysts are seeing a metallic lining successful Bitcoin’s stagnant terms action.

A play adjacent supra $85,000 whitethorn animate much capitalist assurance and pb to the adjacent breakout, according to Enmanuel Cardozo, marketplace expert astatine Brickken real-world plus tokenization platform.

The marketplace expert told Cointelegraph:

“Traders and investors alike are keeping a adjacent oculus connected the $80,000 enactment and the $85,000–$90,000 resistance, with a interruption supra the second perchance sparking a beardown upward movement.”

While Bitcoin’s short-term momentum whitethorn beryllium constricted by the upcoming economical releases, the regulatory developments astir Trump’s Bitcoin reserve program whitethorn gradually bring much marketplace optimism and wide adoption, added the analyst.

Related: Bitcoin’s adjacent catalyst: End of $36T US indebtedness ceiling suspension

Trump’s Bitcoin reserve came 1 measurement person to fruition connected March 14, aft US Representative Byron Donalds introduced a measure that seeks to guarantee the Bitcoin reserve becomes a imperishable fixture, preventing aboriginal administrations from dismantling it done enforcement action.

If the measure is passed, it would guarantee that the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and the US Digital Asset Stockpile could not beryllium eliminated via enforcement actions by a aboriginal administration.

The measure volition necessitate astatine slightest 60 votes successful the Senate and a House bulk to pass. With Republicans holding a Senate majority — and amid a mostly much crypto-friendly situation — the measure has a accidental of passing.

Magazine: SCB tips $500K BTC, SEC delays Ether ETF options, and more: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 23 – March 1

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