Bitcoin Options Scream Bullish as Traders Pile Into $72K and $80K Calls

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Bitcoin traders piled $49.82 cardinal into unfastened futures contracts this week, betting hard connected wherever the world’s largest cryptocurrency heads next. The enactment stretched from the regulated pits of CME to the crowded bid books of Binance, and the numbers archer a communicative of institutions leaning bullish portion retail exchanges softly bleed positions.

Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin futures unfastened involvement deed $49.82 cardinal connected July 22, led by Binance’s $9.24 cardinal share.
  • Deribit calls outnumber puts 65.88% to 34.12%, showing traders favour higher bitcoin prices done 2026.
  • Binance max symptom information points to $72,000 by precocious September, the highest projection among large exchanges.

Bitcoin traded astatine $65,971 per coin astatine 11:45 a.m. EDT connected Tuesday, according to marketplace data. That terms sits successful the mediate of a derivatives marketplace that has grown progressively divided betwixt organization assurance and retail caution.

Futures Open Interest Spreads Across a Dozen Venues

Total bitcoin futures unfastened interest crossed tracked exchanges reached 755,780 BTC, worthy $49.82 billion, Coinglass information shows. That fig slipped 4.26% implicit 24 hours adjacent arsenic it ticked up 0.11% successful the astir caller hour, a motion traders are trimming positions gradually alternatively than rushing for the exits.

Bitcoin full   futures unfastened  involvement  chart.Bitcoin full futures unfastened involvement illustration via Coinglass connected July 22, 2026.

Binance holds the largest stock astatine 140,250 BTC, oregon $9.24 billion, representing 18.55% of the market. CME ranks 2nd successful dollar presumption among large venues astatine 105,750 BTC, oregon $6.97 billion, bully for a 13.98% share. Notably, CME unfastened involvement climbed 1.80% implicit the past time portion astir each different speech declined, a divergence that points to organization traders adding vulnerability portion different venues pulled back.

MEXC saw unfastened involvement autumn 9.66% successful 24 hours to 91,350 BTC. Gate dropped adjacent harder, down 12.73% to 63,500 BTC. Bybit fell 6.71% and OKX slid 6.32%. Smaller venues, including Bitunix, Bitget, and BingX rounded retired the rankings, with BingX really gaining 4.75% connected the time contempt its smaller $896.59 cardinal footprint.

Options Traders Lean Bullish connected Deribit

The options broadside of the marketplace shows an adjacent clearer directional bet. On Deribit, the ascendant venue for bitcoin options, unfastened involvement successful calls stood astatine 336,331.81 BTC against 174,211.44 BTC successful puts, a 65.88% to 34.12% divided favoring bullish positioning. Daily measurement told a akin story, with calls outpacing puts 56.35% to 43.65%.

The largest azygous presumption connected Deribit was the July 31 expiry $72,000 call, holding 26,265.5 BTC of unfastened interest, followed intimately by the $70,000 telephone for the aforesaid day astatine 25,328.2 BTC. Traders besides loaded up connected the December 25 expiry $80,000 telephone astatine 7,602.2 BTC, showing condemnation stretches good beyond the near-term.

Max Pain Levels Diverge Across Venues

Max pain, the terms constituent astatine which the astir options contracts expire worthless, varies notably by exchange. On OKX, near-term max symptom sits astir $66,000, but the curve climbs toward $69,500 for contracts expiring successful precocious September earlier easing back. Deribit shows a akin pattern, with max symptom rising from astir $65,000 contiguous to a highest adjacent $69,500 by September and holding done December, past drifting down toward $60,000 for contracts expiring successful mid-2027.

Binance tells the boldest version of that story. Max symptom determination jumps from astir $66,000 presently to $72,000 by precocious September, the highest highest among the 3 exchanges, earlier falling sharply to $61,500 by March 2026 arsenic later-dated contracts bladed out.

CME Options Add an Institutional Layer

CME’s bitcoin options unfastened interest, chiseled from its futures book, has climbed from a debased adjacent $10 cardinal successful June to astir $50 cardinal to $60 cardinal currently, according to CryptoQuant information stacked by position. Puts person consistently outweighed calls successful dollar presumption crossed astir of the past year, though the spread has narrowed arsenic bitcoin’s terms recovered from its February lows adjacent $60,000.

Viewed by expiration, CME options unfastened interest concentrated heavy successful contracts expiring wrong 1 to 3 months done astir of 2025, a signifier that has repeated into the existent rhythm arsenic the July 2026 expiry approaches.

Bitfinex Analysts Flag a Thin Rally

Market strategists and analysts from Bitfinex flagged a antithetic existent beneath the terms enactment successful a Tuesday probe enactment shared with Bitcoin.com News. The squad recovered small grounds of assertive caller spot buying, arguing the betterment has been driven mostly by derivatives positioning and a deficiency of sellers alternatively than caller superior entering the market. Thirty-day bitcoin trading volumes are moving astatine conscionable 62% of the yearly average, the analysts said, portion CME bitcoin futures unfastened involvement has dropped to its lowest level since 2023, leaving the marketplace much exposed to crisp swings.

Selling unit has besides eased. Strategy has gone 2 consecutive weeks without buying oregon selling bitcoin, with holdings unchanged astatine 843,775 BTC, and semipermanent holder selling has mostly faded. Bitfinex analysts enactment it plainly: “This is an lack of selling, not a resumption of buying.” The options marketplace backs up that read. The enactment to telephone ratio has fallen to 0.56, a multi-month low, which the Bitfinex squad said reflects fading downside bets alternatively than a question of caller spot demand.

Capital rotation remains constrictive too. Spot Ethereum ETFs drew $105.4 cardinal past week compared with $75.7 cardinal for spot bitcoin ETFs, though broader altcoin information stayed muted. The adjacent trial is macro. Bitcoin has kept climbing adjacent arsenic Treasury yields firmed, a signifier the analysts said points to a crypto-driven determination alternatively than a stake connected looser policy, with adjacent week’s Federal Reserve determination shaping up arsenic the cardinal catalyst.

What It Means for the Market

The divided betwixt organization CME activity, which grew adjacent arsenic retail exchanges retreated, and the dense telephone skew connected Deribit suggests nonrecreational traders and larger players are positioning for upside portion smaller platforms spot presumption trimming. Retail-heavy venues losing unfastened involvement portion CME gains it is simply a signifier worthy watching heading into the 4th quarter, particularly with max symptom levels crossed 3 large exchanges each pointing toward higher prices by September.

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