In the latest occurrence of The Milk Road Show, Charles Edwards, laminitis of crypto hedge money Capriole Investments, provided an in-depth investigation of Bitcoin’s existent state, its aboriginal trajectory, and the imaginable decision of the accepted 4-year Bitcoin cycle.
Edwards posits that Bitcoin’s travel to $100,000 could beryllium the catalyst for an unprecedented terms acceleration. He suggests that erstwhile this intelligence and method obstruction is breached, Bitcoin could perchance treble successful worth wrong weeks. Drawing parallels with gold’s caller performance, Edwards stated, “If you look astatine golden this year, it went up 33% successful 16 weeks—that’s a $3.8 trillion determination successful a truly aged asset. For Bitcoin to spell from $100K to $200K, that’s conscionable $2 trillion connected an plus that trades 24/7 and is much accessible globally.”
He emphasizes that Bitcoin’s comparatively smaller marketplace capitalization compared to golden allows for much accelerated terms movements. Historically, aft surpassing erstwhile all-time highs, Bitcoin has experienced important and swift appreciations, entering periods of terms find wherever proviso constraints tin pb to vertical terms increases.
When Will Bitcoin Price Double?
The $100,000 people is not conscionable a circular number; it represents a important absorption level owed to respective factors. Edwards highlighted the beingness of a important merchantability partition astatine this terms point, noting, “We person the biggest merchantability partition we’ve ever seen successful the bid books for Bitcoin astatine $100,00. I deliberation conscionable yea erstwhile that’s cleared out, that’s erstwhile you cognize everyone who wanted to merchantability has sold and you person these truly crisp accelerated vertical terms appreciation moves due to the fact that there’s conscionable nary much proviso left.”
Additionally, galore investors who entered the marketplace astatine little prices whitethorn presumption $100,000 arsenic an optimal constituent to recognize profits, perchance creating selling pressure. However, Edwards remains optimistic that this obstruction volition beryllium surpassed, particularly wrong the adjacent fewer months, fixed the seasonal spot observed successful Bitcoin’s terms movements during Q4 and Q1.
“We are [at a point] successful the rhythm wherever we are seasonal and this is benignant of similar the optimal 2 to 4 period period, […] possibly a 5 to six period play each 4 years. After each Halving each 4 years, you person astir 12 to 18 months wherever you get 90% to 95% of each the cycles returns retired of each 4 years. So astir of it happens successful that 1 twelvemonth alone. If you look astatine Q4 and Q1 that again is the bulk of the returns […] erstwhile you person a beardown monthly breakout supra each time,” the hedge money CEO stated.

While Edwards is bullish connected Bitcoin’s prospects, helium cautions investors astir the inherent volatility of the market. He pointed retired that corrections of 20% to 30% are mean during bull markets and that investors should beryllium prepared for specified fluctuations. “It’s mean to person 30% drawdowns each fewer months successful a Bitcoin bull market,” helium noted.
Factors specified arsenic expanding leverage successful the marketplace could exacerbate terms swings. Edwards mentioned that if leverage and backing rates proceed to emergence without chipping distant astatine the existing merchantability wall, Bitcoin could revisit little enactment levels, perchance astir $80,000. However, helium emphasizes that specified volatility is simply a earthy portion of Bitcoin’s maturation rhythm and not needfully indicative of a semipermanent downturn.
The End Of The Traditional 4-Year Cycle?
A important constituent of treatment was whether the accepted 4-year cycle, mostly driven by the halving events, is reaching its conclusion. Edwards believes that arsenic Bitcoin matures and integrates much profoundly with accepted fiscal systems, the interaction of the halving connected marketplace cycles volition diminish.
“As Bitcoin’s ostentation complaint decreases and it becomes much integrated with accepted finance, the four-year halving cycles whitethorn go little impactful. The ample 80% drawdowns we’ve seen successful the past mightiness not hap successful aboriginal cycles,” helium stated.
This maturation process could pb to much unchangeable maturation patterns and reduced volatility. Edwards suggests that aboriginal cycles whitethorn spot shallower corrections, perchance astir 60% alternatively than the melodramatic declines of erstwhile years.
Notably, respective imaginable catalysts could propel Bitcoin’s terms to unprecedented levels. Edwards mentioned the anticipation of the US authorities establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve nether President-elect Donald Trump.
While helium estimates the probability of this occurring successful 2025 to beryllium astir 30%, helium acknowledges that specified an lawsuit would beryllium a game-changer. “Assuming [the U.S. government] doesn’t merchantability their existing holdings is great, but it’s astir apt not going to assistance the rhythm a lot. Actively buying Bitcoin could beryllium a game-changer,” helium remarked.
Corporate adoption is different important factor. The imaginable for large corporations to adhd Bitcoin to their equilibrium sheets could thrust important demand. Edwards highlighted the upcoming ballot by Microsoft connected this matter, saying, “Let’s anticipation it’s Microsoft [on December 10].”
Furthermore, the occurrence of spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) has opened the doors for organization investors. The sustained request from ETFs has been absorbing Bitcoin proviso steadily. Edwards observed, “The ETFs person conscionable been sucking Bitcoin retired of the strategy ferociously.”
Bitcoin Price Predictions
Edwards provided a basal and an optimistic script for the Bitcoin terms successful this cycle. He stated, “I’d beryllium amazed if we don’t get to $140,000.” This basal lawsuit assumes dependable marketplace conditions without immoderate bonzer affirmative events.
In a much optimistic scenario, helium believes Bitcoin could scope $200,000, particularly if important catalysts, specified arsenic authorities oregon firm adoption, materialize. “We could easy get to $200,000. Once we wide those all-time highs, Bitcoin does multiples precise quickly,” helium explained.
He concluded: “”Once we’re supra $100,000, radical who aren’t successful Bitcoin conscionable cannot comprehend Bitcoin supra $100,000 […] That’s erstwhile you spot the existent power flick and the flows happen.”
At property time, BTC traded astatine $94,814.

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