Bitcoin Price Has Not Reached Its Real Bottom, And A ‘Big Storm’ Is Coming

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While others reason that the Bitcoin terms has already recovered its bottom and could beryllium gearing up for a bullish reversal, 1 crypto expert has rejected these claims, expecting further downside instead. According to Marmot, a crypto adept connected X, Bitcoin has not yet reached its existent terms floor. He warns that the flagship cryptocurrency could clang beneath $45,000 earlier immoderate sustainable betterment to the upside takes shape.

Bitcoin Price Action Mirrors 2022 Bear Market

In a caller X post, Marmot shared a bearish investigation of Bitcoin, comparing its existent carnivore market to past cycles. The expert noted that Bitcoin’s caller terms enactment intimately mirrors patterns seen successful the 2022 carnivore market.

Notably, Bitcoin has already fallen much than 40% from its all-time precocious supra $126,000 successful October 2025. Since that peak, the flagship cryptocurrency has trended downward, signaling little terms rallies, which Marmot has described arsenic “fake recoveries.” These upside moves temporarily lure investors into the marketplace earlier prices reverse sharply downwards, starring to losses.

To enactment his bearish outlook, Marmot has divided Bitcoin’s existent carnivore marketplace into 3 phases. The archetypal signifier was completed aft the cryptocurrency crashed by implicit 54%, present trading astatine astir supra $74,000. According to him, the marketplace is present successful the 2nd carnivore phase, a play characterized by repeated bull traps, fakeouts, and continued volatility designed to hitch retired short-term investors.

The astir caller bull trap was observed after the US-Iran ceasefire announcement, which sent Bitcoin surging concisely supra $73,000. However, this rally proved short-lived arsenic the price quickly reversed toward $71,000 earlier rebounding again supra $74,000 astatine the clip of writing.

As carnivore traps repeatedly hitch retired much shorts and agelong positions get caught successful successive bull traps, Marmot argues that Bitcoin is present entering the final signifier of its carnivore market. He believes that this signifier is wherever Bitcoin’s existent bottommost is astir apt to form.

Analyst Forecasts The “Real” Bitcoin Bottom

In his chart, Marmot placed Bitcoin’s projected bottom beneath the $43,700 level. With the terms presently hovering astir $74,000, this implies a imaginable diminution of implicit 40% and a driblet of much than 65% from its all-time high.

Before reaching that low, Marmot predicts that the marketplace could experience one last crash to shingle retired the remaining marketplace participants. His terms illustration shows that Bitcoin experienced a carnivore trap and a bull trap earlier yet bottoming during the 2022 cycle. Notably, the existent rhythm is astir perfectly repeating the aforesaid pattern, with BTC’s bull and carnivore trap already implicit arsenic the marketplace gears up for its adjacent bottommost crash.

The illustration besides shows that alternatively than a consecutive diminution to the projected terms floor, BTC could archetypal driblet to $45,500, signifier a little rebound, and past deed a bottommost earlier recovering and climbing backmost supra $45,000 arsenic its caller bullish signifier begins.