Bitcoin price retests key support as Fed rate hike fears steal $27K

2 years ago

Bitcoin (BTC) traded backmost beneath $27,000 connected May 19 arsenic investigation flagged large-volume trades pressuring price.

BTC/USD 1-day candle illustration connected Bitstamp. Source: TradingView

Inflation specter haunts crypto markets

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting lows of $26,380 connected Bitstamp.

A humble betterment past took the brace to a scope acquainted from respective days prior, this inactive successful absorption anterior to the week’s last Wall Street open.

Downside overnight came courtesy of expanding marketplace expectations of an involvement complaint hike by the United States Federal Reserve successful June.

These came acknowledgment to debased jobless claims information for the week, with Fed officials adding a hawkish tone.

"On the 1 hand, ostentation is excessively high, and we person not yet made capable advancement connected reducing it," a speech by board subordinate Philip Jefferson astatine the 2023 International Insurance Forum in Washington, D.C., stated.

"On the different hand, GDP has slowed considerably this year, and adjacent though the effect has been muted successful the labour marketplace truthful far, request intelligibly has begun to consciousness the effects of involvement rates that are 5 percent points higher than they were a small implicit a twelvemonth ago."

According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of the Fed pausing its hiking rhythm adjacent month, astatine 1 constituent implicit 95%, stood astatine conscionable 62% connected the day.

Fed people complaint probabilities chart. Source: CME Group

In a elaborate breakdown of the events, monitoring assets Material Indicators showed owners of bid and inquire liquidity placing trades to manipulate BTC terms behaviour connected abbreviated timeframes.

“After chopping sideways, markets began to terms successful imaginable for different complaint hike arsenic the morning's Jobless Report and #FED speakers acceptable the code for that speech up of #JPow's appearance, scheduled for Friday,” portion of Twitter commentary summarized.

“As terms began to drop, a ladder of bids was rugged and terms moved to anterior enactment ~$26.5k, but a merchantability partition was rapidly placed to suppress price.”
BTC/USD bid publication information (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

Material Indicators noted that BTC/USD performed a retest of the 100-day moving mean (MA) — its 3rd successful the past 7 days.

“After astir 90 mins and a fewer nibbles astatine the merchantability wall, the extortion was pulled. Shortly aft that a caller $36M artifact of bids was placed beneath section enactment and the melt up began,” it added.

In summation to the 100-day MA, the 200-week MA astatine $26,100, the investigation concluded, could besides signifier a downside enactment portion next.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle illustration (Bitstamp) with 100-day, 200-week MA. Source: TradingView

Material Indicators referenced the May 19 quality by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, with the accusation that further hawkish connection connected ostentation would adhd to hazard plus terms pressure.

Traders successful "wait and see" mode

Traders frankincense maintained imaginable bearish targets, these focusing connected a wide country astir $25,000.

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Michaël van de Poppe, laminitis and CEO of trading steadfast Eight, was among them, identifying $27,000 arsenic the cardinal enactment level present absent from the chart.

Wanted #Bitcoin to clasp supra $27,000-27,200.

Didn’t happen, stopped retired connected my longs and successful the waiting crippled now.

Reclaim that range, we’ll effort again, oregon present we’ll beryllium waiting for $26,400 expanse and/or $25,000.

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) May 18, 2023

"I americium looking for a agelong if we tin interruption supra $27,500, oregon a abbreviated if we adjacent beneath $26,600. No commercialized successful betwixt this choky range," fashionable trader Crypto Tony added successful portion of Twitter comments.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Crypto Tony/ Twitter

Trading suite Decentrader meantime flagged uninspiring numbers erstwhile it came to shorts versus longs, arguing that a displacement was required for terms to person a changeable astatine reclaiming higher levels.

"Long/Short ratio is presently supra 2 which is precise high. This typically needs to resolved and determination little earlier things commencement looking bullish," it acknowleged.

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This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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