Bitcoin price spike to $64.5K was ‘low-volume liquidity trap’: Analysis

2 months ago

Bitcoin (BTC) abbreviated liquidations deed their highest successful astir 1 period arsenic it deed $64,500 connected Monday, caller information reveals.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin passed $64,000 acknowledgment to a abbreviated compression connected derivatives markets, CryptoQuant says.
  • An ongoing downward funding-rate reset from 0.006% to 0.003% implicit 24 hours could mean further abbreviated squeezes.
  • The lack of spot request raises doubts whether the upside is sustainable aft a week of $267.2 cardinal successful nett ETF outflows.

Bitcoin abbreviated liquidations adjacent one-month high 

BTC/USD rallied aft Sunday’s play close, gaining up to 3% connected Monday to apical retired astatine one-week highs of $64,550 connected Bitstamp. 

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Examining the impetus down the latest BTC terms gains, onchain analytics level CryptoQuant pointed to illiquid markets and funding-rate imbalances among exchanges.

Before rebounding connected Monday, BTC circled adjacent $62,750. Around this level, backing rates betwixt exchanges began to diverge. Shorts were ascendant connected large platforms specified arsenic Binance, Bybit, OKX and Deribit, portion the backing complaint connected HTX concisely spiked to 0.05%.

Funding rates notation to periodic payments exchanged by agelong and abbreviated traders connected Bitcoin derivatives markets successful bid to support their positions. Positive aggregate backing rates amusement that agelong traders are actively paying shorts, with the reverse existent for antagonistic backing rates.

“This crowded abbreviated positioning served arsenic the superior catalyst, fueling a abbreviated compression that drove prices higher,” CryptoQuant continued.

BTC/USD one-hour illustration with speech funding-rate information (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant

Data puts full Bitcoin abbreviated liquidations astatine 637 BTC for Monday, the largest single-day tally since July 21.

Describing the lawsuit arsenic a “low-volume liquidity trap,” CryptoQuant nevertheless suggested that the marketplace could spot much abbreviated squeezes next, with backing rates already declining again arsenic traders summation abbreviated exposure.

Bitcoin abbreviated liquidations. Source: CryptoQuant

Crucial spot request remains absent

Previously, Cointelegraph reported that Bitcoin futures markets accounted for the bulk of trading measurement successful the existent range, with spot traders broadly uninterested. 

Related: BTC terms loses 200-week inclination enactment arsenic 2022 repeats: Five things to cognize successful Bitcoin this week

In further investigation connected Monday, CryptoQuant called the deficiency of spot request the superior hurdle to sustained upside, alongside the deficiency of inflows to the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

“A interruption beneath $60K alongside rising speech inflows would weaken the operation and summation downside hazard toward $50K. Selling unit is cooling, but request inactive needs to return,” it commented.

Recent buyers who stay underwater connected their BTC allocation person helped cement the existent trading range. Short-term holders — wallets holding a UTXO for little than 155 days — person their cost ground astatine astir $68,700, reinforcing that level arsenic resistance.

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