Bitcoin Resilient as Commodity Prices Inflate, Dollar Strength May Hurt

2 years ago

Bitcoin trades were dependable arsenic commodity prices rallied connected Monday, hinting astatine higher ostentation ahead. However, the resilience to the escalating Ukraine-Russia situation whitethorn beryllium fleeting arsenic request for the U.S. dollar, the planetary reserve currency and 1 of the astir liquid plus globally, is rising.

  • At 08:23 UTC, the cryptocurrency was changing hands adjacent $38,350, representing a 1.7% summation connected the day. Prices fell implicit 3% connected Sunday, providing antagonistic cues to accepted markets.

  • Oil is trading 4% higher connected some sides of the Atlantic, extending its caller exponential rally. Russia and Ukraine-linked cultivation commodities similar wheat and maize are up 4% and 3%, respectively, according to information from investing.com.

  • "The scope of near-term terms outcomes for commodities has go extreme, fixed the interest of further subject escalation, vigor sanctions oregon imaginable for a cease-fire," Goldman Sachs wrote successful a enactment to clients connected Sunday, according to Reuters.

  • The Russian ruble plunged 40% during aboriginal Russian trading hours and deed a grounds debased of 118 per U.S. dollar arsenic the Western countries stepped up punitive sanctions connected Moscow, intending to isolate the state from the planetary fiscal system.

  • The Bank of Russia raised rates from 9.5% to 20% and ordered companies to merchantability 80% of their overseas currency gross to antagonistic ruble depreciation risks and higher inflation, according to Reuters.

  • Prospects of higher terms pressures and fiat currency clang person strengthened the lawsuit for holding assets with a store-of-value appeal, specified arsenic bitcoin.

  • The sustainability of bitcoin's gains is nether question, arsenic the escalating Russia-Ukraine situation has led to accent successful the dollar backing markets.

  • The spread betwixt the one-month London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) and Fed rates contracts oregon the alleged FRA/OIS spread, has widened the astir since March 2020, according to Bloomberg.

  • The dispersed measures however costly oregon inexpensive it is for banks to get liquidity (dollars) from different banks. A widening dispersed indicates recognition crunch, the likes of which were past seen during the coronavirus-induced clang of March 2020. In specified situations, investors usually similar to clasp cash, chiefly the U.S. dollar.

  • The dollar index, which tracks the greenback's worth against majors, is trading astatine 97.15 astatine property time, up 0.66% connected the day.

DISCLOSURE

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Omkar Godbole is the elder newsman connected CoinDesk's Markets team.


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