Bitcoin sees positive reaction as inflation hits 8.5% with March CPI data matching forecast

2 years ago

Price Watch

Inflation successful the U.S. has deed a 40 twelvemonth precocious astatine 8.5% and Bitcoin reacts positively moving up connected the news

3 min read

Updated: April 12, 2022 at 5:47 pm

Bitcoin sees affirmative  absorption    arsenic  ostentation  hits 8.5% with March CPI information  matching forecast

Cover art/illustration via CryptoSlate

Upland

The terms of Bitcoin roseate aft March CPI data confirmed that ostentation successful the U.S. continues to increase, hitting the highest level successful 40 years. However, with the terms of Bitcoin presently down 11% since January 1 and an ostentation speechmaking of 8.5%, the nett terms alteration is conscionable 2.5% successful existent terms.

In addition, the Nasdaq (QQQ) is down 14% since the commencement of the year, indicating that Bitcoin is acting arsenic an ostentation hedge. Inflation successful the United States is present astatine the highest level successful 40 years.

The effect connected the crypto market

Bitcoin fell implicit $3,000 connected April 11 connected rumors that ostentation would travel successful hot. The diminution was contradictory to expectations for an plus people considered an ostentation hedge.

btc march inflationSource: Tradingview

However, arsenic we know, Bitcoin has tracked tech stocks connected shorter timeframes for the past respective months. Bitcoin’s terms is the orangish enactment successful the trading presumption charts, portion the Nasdaq scale is represented arsenic bars. The correlation successful the days starring up to the CPI information merchandise is evident.

btc qqq correlationSource: Tradingview

Is Bitcoin an ostentation hedge?

Ahead of the CPI release, galore believed that ostentation information already priced into the marketplace was worse than expected. Moreover, determination were fears that ostentation could beryllium adjacent higher arsenic the White House suggested the numbers would beryllium “extraordinarily elevated.”

Tomorrow's atrocious ostentation information could already beryllium priced successful aft the informing from the White House, that is if it is lone similar 8.5%. But if it is thing implicit 9%, past we are astir apt heading little arsenic that is worse than the marketplace expects. IMO. #bitcoin #crypto

— Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) April 12, 2022

It is unclear however the marketplace volition respond to the CIP information successful the agelong term, but successful the abbreviated term, Bitcoin seems to beryllium outperforming tech portion besides mirroring its movements successful presumption of wide sentiment. For example, Nasdaq moved up implicit 5 points successful pre-market trading arsenic the quality broke.

The crypto assemblage is taking to Twitter to comparison accepted concern savings rates to DeFi and Bitcoin’s baked-in ostentation owed to its fixed supply. The quality caused a flimsy spike successful Bitcoin’s price, pushing it up much than $400 successful 30 minutes. However, it has since retraced backmost beneath $40,000 arsenic it battles to clasp captious intelligence support.

If you're not earning +8.5% connected your savings, you are losing money!

Meanwhile, #Bitcoin's ostentation complaint is astatine 1.7% and cannot beryllium manipulated. https://t.co/nfRiHCxArj

— Josh (@CryptoWorldJosh) April 12, 2022

Sell the rumor, bargain the news

MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor said “inflation is worse than you think” successful the pb up to the CPI release. Equities markets fell into the close connected April 11 arsenic traders prepared for the worst.

#Inflation is worse than you think, and #Bitcoin is amended than you know.

— Michael Saylor⚡️ (@saylor) April 12, 2022

However, Bitcoin deed a section bottommost astir 9 p.m. EST, hitting conscionable astir $39,000, earlier climbing passim the night. These events person led to a uncommon merchantability the rumor bargain the quality lawsuit arsenic it appears the markets were bracing themselves for ostentation to travel successful adjacent higher than the 8.5%.

Core CPI information suggests that ostentation is lone up 0.5%, with accepted concern analysts specified arsenic Andrew Hunter of Capital Economics believing the “big quality successful the March study was that halfway terms pressures yet look to beryllium moderating.”

Core CPI information removes nutrient and vigor from the equation, which could beryllium considered anti-consumer since these are arguably the things that incur the highest costs for mean people. Consequently, nutrient and vigor are besides wherever ostentation has deed the hardest.

8.5% inflation… There is nary specified happening arsenic "cost-push inflation".

All prices bash not emergence with the aforesaid quantity of money.

If 1 terms soars and wealth quantity is the same, others fall.

Only monolithic wealth instauration supra existent request tin pb to astir each prices rising. pic.twitter.com/W6BbDiTmjU

— Daniel Lacalle (@dlacalle_IA) April 12, 2022

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