Bitcoin upside could stop at $100K despite $3B in ETF inflows

4 hours ago

Key points:

High Bitcoin ETF inflows don't ever awesome a terms apical arsenic humanities information is mixed.
Spot Bitcoin inflows often precede short-term terms rises, not reversals.
Bitcoin whitethorn deed $100K but faces resistance.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) terms betterment whitethorn beryllium stalled astatine $100,000 arsenic questions look whether precocious ETF inflows person ever marked the section apical for the asset.

Does $1B Bitcoin ETF inflows awesome a top?

Bitcoin has displayed bullish momentum aft recovering from its multimonth lows of $74,400. BTC is up 8% implicit the past 7 days, arsenic per information from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.

Bitcoin’s betterment was fueled by precocious capitalist appetite for spot ETFs, which recorded $3.06 cardinal nett play inflows, the largest since December 2025.

Evidence of whether the precocious spot Bitcoin ETFs inflows could awesome that the terms is getting adjacent to a section apical could beryllium determined by analyzing humanities data.

While determination person been instances wherever important inflows coincided with oregon preceded Bitcoin terms peaks, this has not ever been the case.

The illustration supra shows that successful March 2024, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw grounds inflows of implicit $1 cardinal connected March 12, with BlackRock’s IBIT unsocial receiving $849 million.

This preceded Bitcoin’s caller all-time precocious of astir $73,300, suggesting a imaginable apical signal. Similarly, connected June 3, 2024, regular inflows deed $917 billion, aligning with Bitcoin’s rally from $67,000 to $72,000, followed by a 25% correction to $53,000. These cases enactment the thought of large inflows preceding section tops.

However, successful November 2024, play inflows deed $3.38 billion, arsenic Bitcoin deed 1 all-time precocious aft another, but this did not instantly pb to a terms top. Instead, BTC showed resilience crossing the $100,000 marketplace for the archetypal time to its erstwhile all-time highs of $108,000 reached connected Dec. 17, 2025.

Using a Vector Autoregression model, marketplace analytics assets FalconX demonstrated the narration betwixt ETF nett flows and Bitcoin price, and recovered that inflows person short-term predictive powerfulness for terms increases, not needfully reversals.

How precocious tin Bitcoin terms go?

Bitcoin’s 27% rally from the $74,400 scope debased saw it flip cardinal levels into support, including the 50-day ($85,100), 100-day ($90,570), and 200-day ($89,300) elemental moving averages (SMA).

Bitcoin was inactive consolidating nether the absorption astatine $95,000 arsenic observed by fashionable expert AlphaBTC.

“The pinkish container [at the $95,000 level] has held $BTC’s terms for the past fewer days, arsenic expected,” AlphaBTC said successful an April 28 station connected X, hoping to spot BTC determination past it arsenic the week opens.

Cointelegraph earlier reported that the $95,000 level marks the next important resistance for Bitcoin and that continued ETF demand and different bullish factors would beryllium cardinal successful overcoming it.

AlphaBTC added:

“I deliberation we propulsion to 100K, but past apt spot a bigger pullback.”

Data from monitoring assets CoinGlass shows important seller involvement wrong the $97,000-$100,000 scope implicit the past 3 months.

This suggests that Bitcoin’s terms mightiness emergence further to instrumentality the liquidity astatine $100,000 earlier staging a pullback.

Keith Alan, co-founder of trading assets Material Indicators, doubted the quality of BTC/USD to prolong a travel supra $95,000. While trading steadfast QCP Capital argued that Bitcoin lacked a “catalyst” to propel it toward $100,000 for the clip being.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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