Bitwise doubles down on $200K Bitcoin price prediction amid trade tension

1 week ago

Institutional crypto concern steadfast Bitwise has doubled down connected its large Bitcoin terms prediction for this twelvemonth contempt escalating planetary commercialized tensions.

“In December, Bitwise predicted that Bitcoin would extremity the twelvemonth astatine $200,000. I inactive deliberation that’s successful play,” Bitwise main concern serviceman Matt Hougan said successful an April 9 blog post. 

He suggested that the fallout from US President Donald Trump’s global tariff push could beryllium beneficial for Bitcoin (BTC) and crypto due to the fact that his medication “wants a weaker dollar, adjacent if it means ending its relation arsenic the world’s reserve currency.”

Hougan cited an April 7 speech by Steve Miran, president of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, which criticized the dollar’s reserve presumption arsenic causing “persistent currency distortions” and “unsustainable commercialized deficits” that person “decimated” US manufacturing.

Hougan said a weaker greenback could person some short-term and semipermanent implications for Bitcoin. 

In the abbreviated term, dollar weakness historically correlates with Bitcoin strength, helium added, citing the US Dollar Index (DXY). 

“Dollar down equals Bitcoin up,” Hougan said. “I expect this signifier volition continue.”

BTC prices person mostly been historically precocious erstwhile DXY has been historically low. Source: MacroMicro 

The DXY, which compares the worth of the US dollar to a handbasket of six large currencies, has fallen much than 7% since the opening of 2025, according to TradingView. 

In the agelong term, Hougan said disruption to the planetary reserve currency strategy creates opportunities for alternate reserve assets, including Bitcoin and gold. 

“Governments and companies crook to the dollar for planetary commercialized precisely due to the fact that of its stability. When that stableness comes into question, they person to look elsewhere.”

The Bitwise enforcement concluded that the satellite volition determination from a azygous reserve currency to a “more fractured reserve system, with hard wealth similar Bitcoin and golden playing a bigger relation than it does today.”

Earlier this week, VanEck said that China and Russia were reportedly settling immoderate vigor trades successful Bitcoin arsenic Trump’s commercialized warfare ramps up.

On April 9, Trump issued a 90-day intermission connected astir each of his earlier announced “reciprocal tariffs,” keeping a baseline 10% tariff connected each countries too China, which helium lumped with a 125% tariff.

Bitcoin volition beryllium the fastest horse 

Crypto trader and expert Will Clemente said connected X that “Bitcoin volition beryllium the fastest horse” coming retired of this drawdown. 

Related: Most opportune clip to bargain Bitcoin? Now — Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan explains why

“It’s a axenic reflection of liquidity and nary earnings, if anything, economical uncertainty/deglobalization are affirmative for Bitcoin,” helium added. 

BTC is up 7.5% implicit the past 24 hours to $81,700. It has seen a correction of astir 32% from its Jan. 20 all-time high, successful enactment with pullbacks successful erstwhile bull marketplace cycles.

Magazine: 3 reasons Ethereum could crook a corner: Kain Warwick, X Hall of Flame

View source