BTC bull market began in March, more will realize in a year: Arthur Hayes

1 year ago

The BitMEX co-founder says Bitcoin's been connected a bull tally since the Fed's $25 cardinal dollar programme aimed astatine stabilizing the U.S. banking system.

 Arthur Hayes

Bitcoin (BTC) has been connected a bull tally for the past six months oregon truthful and the marketplace is yet to respond — but it volition successful astir six to 12 months, according to BitMEX co-founder and erstwhile CEO Arthur Hayes.

In a Sept. 5 keynote code astatine Korea Blockchain Week, Hayes argued Bitcoin’s bull tally began connected March 10, the time Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) was taken implicit by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.

Two days earlier SVB’s takeover connected March 8, Silvergate Bank had gone into liquidation. Two days aboriginal connected March 12, Signature Bank was forced to close by New York regulators.

In response, and successful a bid to halt further imaginable collapses, the Federal Reserve created the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) — offering banking loans of up to a twelvemonth successful instrumentality for them posting “qualifying assets” arsenic collateral.

Hayes speaking astatine Korea Blockchain Week successful Seoul. Source: Andrew Fenton/Cointelegraph

“Essentially, what [the Fed] did was backstop the full banking strategy by saying: ‘Please springiness maine your underwater dogshit bonds and I'll springiness you caller dollars,’” Hayes said.

“Me and the remainder of the marketplace rightly saw done this arsenic fundamentally them admitting that they caused this occupation — the operation of the banking strategy — and this is 1 of the ways you tin hole it which is: Print much money.”

He said since then, Bitcoin’s price has been up — presently astir 26% — which is wherefore helium claims the bull marketplace started that day.

“We fundamentally ditched this full facade that we attraction astir the worth of the dollar and the worth of immoderate fiat currency.”

This pushed traders to see fixed-supply assets specified arsenic Bitcoin, Hayes claimed.

Related: Why is Jerome Powell gaslighting america astir the likelihood of recession?

However, the remainder of the marketplace market hasn’t yet responded, but helium gave a timeline of betwixt six to 12 months for that to occur.

Hayes said adjacent if the Fed and different cardinal banks continued involvement complaint hikes to alteration economical tightening oregon if they “print much money” past Bitcoin would inactive execute well.

“On some scenarios, whether the Fed raises oregon cuts, we are successful a bully presumption arsenic the cryptocurrency industry,” helium said.

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