BTC bulls get 'biggest signal' — 5 Things to know in Bitcoin this week

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Bitcoin (BTC) launches into US CPI week with caller multimonth highs arsenic traders excavation successful for volatility.

  • BTC terms enactment is giving progressively bullish signals, joined by a cardinal transverse connected the play MACD indicator.

  • The play adjacent fell conscionable abbreviated of expectations, raising doubts implicit whether terms find volition instrumentality successful the contiguous future.

  • CPI and PPI header the week’s US macro information drops, but markets are each astir the US-China commercialized woody and its implications.

  • Bitcoin proviso successful nonaccomplishment drops beneath 2% successful a uncommon trial of hodlers’ staying power.

  • Despite the gains, crypto marketplace sentiment remains chill amid a deficiency of mainstream interest.


Bitcoin MACD transverse copies October 2024

Bitcoin managed to sphere its highest levels since January astir the play adjacent arsenic bulls conflict absorption beneath all-time highs.

Volatility was disposable implicit the play acknowledgment to BTC/USD staying sensitive to developments astir US commercialized tariffs.

On the hourly chart, these manifested arsenic drawback moves up and down earlier a wide sideways inclination continued, resulting successful respective “long wick” candles. 

That signifier continued into the week’s archetypal Wall Street open, with Bitcoin hitting caller highs of $105,706 connected Bitstamp, per information from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

“Price enactment was making it look similar thing large was coming. Any tiny dip was getting scooped up instantly and terms started to determination ~1 hr anterior to the announcement,” fashionable trader Daan Crypto Trades wrote astir the tariffs improvement successful portion of a post connected X

“We're seeing rather a batch of ‘aware’ terms enactment precede large announcements lately. The insider/leaking is existent and it's utilized to commercialized our markets. Keep successful mind, seeing this is specified a large 1 including 2 large countries, it could beryllium anyone anywhere.”
BTC/USDT perpetual swaps 15-minute chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Fellow trader James Wynn continued by forecasting further volatility to come.

“It’s astir to get earnestly volatile for $BTC. Sharp wicks down, crisp wicks up,” portion of his ain X station stated.

An accompanying illustration showed speech bid publication liquidity from monitoring assets CoinGlass. To the upside, $106,000 was the cardinal country to interruption done connected debased timeframes. 

BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass

Others pointed to a bullish transverse connected the moving mean convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator, which connected play timeframes provided a cardinal upside impetus.

“Probably the biggest awesome you tin get astatine the moment,” fashionable trader Moustache summarized to X followers, noting that the past specified transverse was successful October 2024.

BTC/USD 1-week illustration with MACD data. Source: Moustache/X

As Cointelegraph reported, MACD had antecedently offered mixed signals, with regular show giving traders intermission for thought.


Bitcoin bulls narrowly miss cardinal play target

Despite hitting its highest levels successful three-and-a-half months aft the play close, Bitcoin failed to flip a cardinal enactment enactment that would unafraid a caller breakout.

The play candle closed astatine astir $104,100 — a stone’s propulsion from what investigation antecedently described arsenic the summons to terms discovery.

Bitcoin Price, Markets, Market AnalysisBTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Updating X followers connected the topic, fashionable trader and expert Rekt Capital confirmed a rejection astatine $104,500.

“Going forward, it'll beryllium worthy watching for Bitcoin to signifier Lower Lows connected the terms enactment and Higher Lows connected the RSI for a Bullish Divergence to develop,” helium concluded.

BTC/USD 1-day illustration with RSI data. Source: Rekt Capital/X

Before the close, BTC/USD had fixed beardown cues that a retest of all-time highs could beryllium connected the cards and adjacent a task beyond.

“Bitcoin is connected the cusp of opening Price Discovery Uptrend 2,” Rekt Capital stated astatine the time.

BTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

Price frankincense returned to a trading scope lone precocious reclaimed during a week successful which bulls enjoyed gains of 9.9%.

As Cointelegraph reported, BTC terms targets already included $150,000 and higher during June.


CPI week dawns with uncertainty “everywhere”

Another crunch macroeconomic information week for risk-asset traders makes for a perchance volatile situation for Bitcoin and altcoins.

Two cardinal ostentation markers, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) people for April, are owed successful the coming days.

At the aforesaid time, markets are connected borderline implicit US commercialized policy, with news of a woody with China sparking flash moves successful crypto implicit the weekend.

“We person yet to person a connection from Trump straight connected the US-China commercialized deal,” trading assets The Kobeissi Letter noted successful portion of ongoing X coverage. 

“This explains wherefore markets are lone up ~1.3% connected this different massively bullish news. Uncertainty is inactive everywhere.”
S&P 500 E-mini futures chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Kobeissi added that retail net reports could besides signifier marketplace show implicit the coming week.

Continuing, trading steadfast Mosaic Asset argued that commercialized quality aside, hazard assets lacked bullish impetus acknowledgment to an ongoing hawkish argumentation stance from the US Federal Reserve and Chair Jerome Powell. 

The Fed left involvement rates unchanged astatine its gathering past week, with markets progressively pricing retired a chopped earlier July.

“While determination is immoderate easing of tensions connected the commercialized front, the latest involvement complaint mounting gathering by the Federal Reserve isn’t delivering immoderate bullish catalysts,” Mosaic Asset wrote successful the latest variation of its regular newsletter, “The Market Mosaic.”

“Despite superior marketplace volatility this year, Fed Chair Powell reiterated his connection that the Fed tin instrumentality a ‘wait and see’ attack to however tariffs are impacting the system and inflation.”
Fed people complaint probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group

The latest information from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool puts the accidental of a complaint chopped successful June astatine nether 15%, portion the Fed’s July gathering attracts astir 50% odds.


Euphoria vs. “smart distribution”

The proportionality of the Bitcoin proviso held successful nett has reached much than 98% — thing hardly seen before, caller probe says.

In 1 of its “Quicktake” blog posts connected May 11, onchain analytics level CryptoQuant examined whether the Bitcoin capitalist basal was inclined to “smart distribution” astatine existent levels.

“When BTC's proviso successful nonaccomplishment drops to betwixt 0–2%, it typically coincides with late-stage bull runs,” contributor Kripto Mevsimi summarized. 

“As shown successful the chart, these moments clump adjacent macro tops — a portion often characterized by overconfidence.”
BTC proviso days successful nonaccomplishment (screenshot). Source: CryptoQuant

The station added that semipermanent holders — those hodling for astatine slightest six months — whitethorn spot the instrumentality to six figures arsenic a suitable accidental to trim BTC exposure. Newcomers and speculators, connected the different hand, whitethorn lone present beryllium readying an entry.

“With astir each BTC holders successful profit, organisation hazard increases. Long-term holders whitethorn spot these conditions arsenic a awesome to derisk, particularly with BTC adjacent all-time highs,” Kripto Mevsimi continued. 

“Meanwhile, newer entrants could construe this spot arsenic confirmation to chase, creating a imaginable sentiment mismatch.”

Last week, probe nevertheless suggested that buy-side and sell-side unit was broadly balanced, with the accusation that Bitcoin could proceed moving higher without a important unreserved to the exit.


Mainstream retail ignores $104,000 Bitcoin

In an absorbing improvement — 1 perchance supporting sustained BTC terms upside — the marketplace is little “greedy” astatine $104,000 than it was erstwhile Bitcoin traded much than 10% lower.

Related: Ethereum illustration signifier supports ‘moon shot’ rally to caller terms highs if confirmed — Trader

The latest information from the Crypto Fear & Greed Index shows that portion “greed” does qualify the wide mood, the archetypal propulsion to $94,000 connected April 23 delivered higher readings.

Fear & Greed measured 70/100 connected May 12, portion connected April 23 it reached 72/100, conscionable inches from “extreme greed” territory.

Lower levels of greed successful the look of higher prices could perchance awesome much sustainable terms maturation arsenic investors defy the impulse to enactment erratically.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.me

Analyzing Google Trends volumes for “Bitcoin” successful particular, marketplace commentators person travel to akin conclusions.

Despite being adjacent to caller all-time highs, Bitcoin is inactive not attracting important mainstream retail interest.

— Westy💾 (@Westy_Dev) May 11, 2025

“Google searches for ‘Bitcoin’ astatine adjacent to a 5-year low. Price implicit 100k,” Vijay Selvam, writer of “Principles of Bitcoin,” summarized connected X astatine the weekend. 

“Retail hasn’t adjacent decently checked backmost successful since 2020.”

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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