Chart of The Week: Will April Bring Good Luck or Fool's Hope for Bitcoin?

2 days ago

It's a bloodbath for integer assets, with traders hitting the merchantability button, wiping retired implicit $160 cardinal of the full cryptocurrency marketplace headdress since Friday.

Few things person compounded arsenic the archetypal 4th of this twelvemonth closes out, starring to the sell-off, including Trump's tariff threats, planetary economical concerns and the deficiency of a wide catalyst for the adjacent limb up.

However, if past is thing to spell by, determination mightiness beryllium immoderate glimmer of anticipation heading into the 2nd quarter, arsenic April could bring a bullish setup for crypto.

Based connected the full percent instrumentality since 2010, April has brought successful an mean 27% instrumentality for bitcoin, marking it the third-best month, according to Barchart data. November and May were the different 2 months with the highest returns, with astir 38% and 26% gains, respectively.

As CoinDesk expert Omkar Godbole reported for Crypto Daybook Americas—a premium newsletter offering to assistance traders marque informed concern decisions—this seasonality could beryllium a much-needed affirmative indicator for the market.

"Seasonality factors are not arsenic reliable arsenic standalone indicators, but erstwhile coupled with different signs, specified arsenic the caller halt successful selling by semipermanent holders, they look credible," Godbole wrote.

One cog successful the instrumentality whitethorn beryllium the defunct speech Mt. Gox's transportation of a important magnitude of bitcoin to the centralized exchange's wallets, which could make fearfulness of creditors' liquidations.

"A imaginable short-term hazard is Mt. Gox, which has been transferring sizable amounts of BTC to Kraken—this whitethorn pb to impermanent selling unit oregon marketplace volatility," said Deribit CEO Luuk Strijers.

Read more: Now Is 'Really Good Time' to Buy Bitcoin, Says Trillion Dollar Investment Manager

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