Ethereum network upgrade and uptick in Arbitrum active users could trigger an ARB price reversal

1 year ago

While Arbitrum’s governance token ARB has been successful a accordant downturn since the airdrop successful precocious March, its ecosystem shows steadfast growth. 

A caller Nansen report shows that Arbitrum’s enactment improved aft the airdrop, stabilizing “at a level higher” than earlier the airdrop. The regular progressive users, state fees and transaction number maintained accordant higher levels connected the Ethereum rollup since April 2023.

The spread betwixt the fig of progressive users connected Arbitrum and Optimism widened aft the Aribtrum airdrop, closing successful connected Ethereum.

Daily Active Users of Arbitrum, Ethereum and Optimism (past 6 months). Source: Nansen

The trading measurement connected Arbitrum-based decentralized exchanges overgarment a akin picture, showing an evident emergence successful measurement aft the airdrop.

The trading measurement of DEXes connected Arbitrum. Source: DeFiLlama

Moreover, Nansen’s study showed that lone ARB airdrop recipients lone accounted for astir 5% of the enactment connected the blockchain and showed that Arbitrum has attracted considerably much caller users to Arbitrum aft the airdrop.

Potential catalysts for ARB upside

Moreover, an upcoming update connected Ethereum successful the 2nd fractional of 2023, dubbed arsenic Cancun-Deneb (Dencun), volition see EIP-4844 (Proto-Danksharding), which volition trim the transaction fees connected Arbitrum, expanding the blockchain’s worth proposition.

Additionally, the Arbitrum Foundation precocious revealed accumulated information from its Sequencer, a portion of the L2 fees paid by users for posting the information onto Ethereum.

The Foundation has decided to walk connected the Sequencer’s earnings, totalling 3,352 ETH oregon $5.4 million, to the Arbitrum DAO which volition beryllium managed by ARB holders.

https://twitter.com/arbitrum/status/1656090371061956610

A gross root for the DAO tin perchance make yields for ARB holders if the assemblage votes to nonstop the rewards holders. It remains to beryllium seen however the funds are managed by the instauration and the DAO.

“Smart money” is holding ARB

Nansen’s information shows that the “smart money” and funds who accumulated ARB aft the airdrop inactive haven’t sold, which is encouraging. The on-chain analytics steadfast tags Ethereum addresses of high-volume and profitable traders arsenic “smart money.”

Funds (purple) and astute wallets (green) are inactive holding ARB. Source: Nansen

The backing complaint for ARB perpetual swap contracts turned antagonistic similar the remainder of the crypto marketplace aft the SEC brought lawsuits against the industry’s largest exchanges, Binance and Coinbase, per Coinglass data.

Related: Deposits to zkSync surpass $110M arsenic its DeFi ecosystem explodes

Funding rates are paid by perpetual swap traders for shorting oregon longing an plus depending connected its demand. If the request for abbreviated orders is higher, it is deemed much expensive, truthful traders connected the abbreviated broadside wage longs.

Currently, the backing rates are adjacent zero, suggesting that futures traders are neutral connected ARB.

Funding complaint crossed the perpetual swap markets. Source: Coinglass

The ARB/USD brace has observed a downward inclination since the token’s motorboat successful March. The compression of the transmission shows the anticipation of a descending wedge pattern, which has a inclination to interruption to the upside.

However, if ARB breaks beneath the enactment from the enactment enactment of the wedge signifier astir $0.90, the determination to the downside tin amplify quickly.

ARB/USDT regular terms chart. Source: TradingView

On the ETH scale, ARB broke beneath May’s debased of 0.00057 ETH aft the SEC’s lawsuits. The token was past trading astatine 0.00056 ETH.

ARB/ETH 4-hour terms chart. Source: GeckoTerminal

Technically, ARB shows the anticipation of a antagonistic inclination reversal. Nevertheless, the upcoming Dencun update connected Ethereum and decisions taken by the Arbitrum instauration successful directing gross from the layer-2 rollup volition yet dictate ARB’s terms action.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

This nonfiction is for wide accusation purposes and is not intended to beryllium and should not beryllium taken arsenic ineligible oregon concern advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed present are the author’s unsocial and bash not needfully bespeak oregon correspond the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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