JP Morgan Predicts Bitcoin Crash To $13.000 Due To Cascade Of Margin Calls

1 year ago

Amidst the play surrounding the busted deal betwixt FTX and Binance, banking elephantine JP Morgan has commented connected the existent authorities of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. If FTX does record for bankruptcy, the contagion could beryllium massive.

As Bitcoinist reported today, FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried confirmed successful a telephone with his investors soon earlier Binance dismissed his bailout that the spread successful the equilibrium expanse is $8 billion.

An anonymous root leaked that the troubled speech is seeking bailout backing successful the signifier of debt, equity oregon a operation of both. With Singaporean state-owned Temasak and TRON laminitis Justin Sun, determination are presently astatine slightest 2 tiny sparks of hope.

JP Morgan Forecasts Gloomy Times For Bitcoin

The looming insolvency of FTX continues to measurement heavy connected the Bitcoin terms astatine the moment. At property time, Bitcoin was trading astatine $17,767, down 9% implicit the past 24 hours and down 19% implicit the past 7 days.

Exactly 1 twelvemonth ago, connected November 10, 2021, BTC reached its erstwhile all-time precocious of $69,045.00, which represents a terms driblet of astir 75% astatine the existent rate.

Bitcoin illustration  BTC USDBitcoin bouncing disconnected its caller debased astatine $15,700, 1-day-chart. Source: TradingView

However, according to the latest report from JP Morgan, it could spell adjacent little arsenic the marketplace faces a “cascade of borderline calls.” According to JPMorgan strategists led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, the Bitcoin terms could autumn arsenic debased arsenic $13,000.

Moreover, the analysts pass successful the study that the cascade effect could beryllium amplified owed to the existent conditions of the market:

What makes this caller signifier of crypto deleveraging induced by the evident illness of Alameda Research and FTX much problematic is that the fig of entities with stronger equilibrium sheets capable to rescue those with debased superior and precocious leverage is shrinking” successful the crypto sphere.

According to JP Morgan, a renewed miner capitulation deems a large hazard factor. In particular, the U.S. banking elephantine believes Bitcoin could autumn beneath its accumulation cost, presently averaging astir $15,000.

At the moment, this accumulation outgo stands astatine $15,000, but it is apt to revisit the $13,000 debased seen implicit the summertime months.

As a result, much miners similar Core Scientific precocious whitethorn beryllium forced to merchantability their Bitcoin holdings, putting further selling unit connected the market.

Riot Blockchain, 1 of the largest publically traded Bitcoin miners, precocious released its latest quarterly report, revealing the authorities of its finances and operations.

As Jaran Mellerud of Hashrate Index discussed, thing is much important successful a carnivore marketplace than a steadfast equilibrium sheet. Riot has a coagulated equilibrium expanse with minimal debt, which is reflected successful their debased debt-to-equity ratio. The bulk of the apical 10 listed Bitcoin miners boast likewise bully oregon adjacent amended numbers.

Nothing is much important successful a carnivore marketplace than having a steadfast equilibrium sheet.

Riot has a coagulated equilibrium expanse with minimal amounts of debt. pic.twitter.com/viWEVUErbP

— Jaran Mellerud (@JMellerud) November 9, 2022

However, with Hive, Spere 3D, DMG and CryptoStar, determination are besides 4 miners that person higher debt-to-equity ratios.

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