Price analysis 10/4: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, SOL, ADA, DOGE, TON, DOT, MATIC

11 months ago

United States 10-year Treasury yields soared supra 4.8% connected Oct. 3, their highest level since 2007. DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach said successful a post connected X (formerly Twitter) that the dispersed betwixt the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields has narrowed from 109 ground points a fewer months agone to 35 ground points. He cautioned that this “should enactment everyone connected recession warning.”

Arthur Hayes, erstwhile CEO of crypto speech BitMEX, warned successful a caller X thread that the government volition person to people money to prevention the enslaved marketplace arsenic a faster carnivore steepener — a information wherever semipermanent involvement rates emergence much rapidly than short-term rates — volition origin firms to collapse. Some investors judge that this could trigger a cryptocurrency bull market.

Daily cryptocurrency marketplace performance. Source: Coin360

It besides looks similar the organization investors person started to lukewarm up to cryptocurrencies. CoinShares’ latest Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report shows inflows of $21 million into integer plus concern products for the archetypal clip successful six weeks.

In this uncertain macro environment, let’s instrumentality a look astatine the charts to find the adjacent imaginable move.

Bitcoin terms analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) roseate supra $28,143 connected Oct. 2 but the agelong wick connected the candlestick shows the bears are aggressively selling astatine higher levels. The bears tried to physique upon their vantage connected Oct. 3 but the bulls held their crushed astatine $27,160.

BTC/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

The upsloping 20-day exponential moving mean ($26,903) and the comparative spot scale (RSI) successful the affirmative territory bespeak that bulls person the precocious hand. Buyers volition erstwhile again effort to wide the overhead absorption astatine $28,143.

A adjacent supra this level volition implicit a short-term treble bottommost pattern, which has a people nonsubjective of $31,486.

This affirmative presumption volition beryllium invalidated if the terms erstwhile again turns down from the overhead absorption and plummets beneath the 20-day EMA. That could yank the terms to $26,000. The BTC/USDT brace could past proceed to consolidate betwixt $24,800 and $28,143 for a portion longer.

Ether terms analysis

Ether (ETH) turned down sharply from the overhead absorption of $1,746 connected Oct. 2, indicating that the bears are fiercely guarding this level.

ETH/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($1,640) is flattening retired and the RSI is adjacent the midpoint, indicating a equilibrium betwixt proviso and demand. If the terms turns up from the existent level, the bulls volition again effort to flooded the obstacle astatine $1,746. If they tin propulsion it off, the ETH/USDT brace volition implicit a treble bottommost pattern, having a people nonsubjective of $1,961.

On the different hand, if the terms continues little and tumbles beneath the moving averages, it volition suggest that the brace whitethorn widen its enactment wrong the $1,531 to $1,746 scope for immoderate much time.

BNB terms analysis

BNB (BNB) jumped supra the $220 absorption connected Oct. 2 but the bulls could not prolong the breakout arsenic seen from the agelong wick connected the day’s candlestick.

BNB/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

The nonaccomplishment of the bulls to support the terms supra the 20-day EMA ($214) is simply a antagonistic sign. It shows that traders are rushing to the exit. The BNB/USDT brace could adjacent autumn to the uptrend line.

If the terms rebounds disconnected this level, the bulls volition again effort to propulsion the brace supra $220. A adjacent supra this absorption could awesome the commencement of an up-move to $235 and thereafter to $250. Instead, if the terms breaks beneath the uptrend line, the brace whitethorn diminution to the formidable enactment astatine $203.

XRP terms analysis

Buyers pushed XRP (XRP) supra the symmetrical triangle signifier connected Sep. 29 and past foiled respective attempts by the bears to propulsion the terms backmost into the triangle.

XRP/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls volition adjacent effort to surmount the overhead absorption astatine $0.56. If they are successful, it volition awesome the commencement of a caller uptrend. The XRP/USDT brace could past commencement its travel toward the signifier astatine $0.66.

Conversely, if the terms turns down from $0.56 and dives beneath the uptrend line, it volition suggest that the bulls are booking profits. That could support the brace range-bound betwixt $0.56 and $0.41 for a fewer much days.

Solana terms analysis

Solana (SOL) has been oscillating wrong a ample scope betwixt $14 and $27.12. The terms enactment of the past fewer days has resulted successful the enactment of a imaginable inverse caput and shoulders pattern.

SOL/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

Although setups formed wrong a scope thin to beryllium little reliable, inactive they should not beryllium neglected. If the terms turns up and breaks supra the neckline, the SOL/USDT brace could effort a rally to $27.12 and yet to the signifier people of $32.81.

The captious enactment to ticker connected the downside is the 20-day EMA ($20.95). If the terms slides beneath this level, it volition suggest that the bulls person fixed up. That could unfastened the gates for a imaginable driblet to $17.33.

Cardano terms analysis

Cardano (ADA) turned down from $0.27 connected Oct. 2 and reached the 20-day EMA ($0.25) connected Oct. 4. This is an important level to support an oculus connected successful the adjacent term.

ADA/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

If the terms rebounds disconnected the 20-day EMA, it volition bespeak a alteration successful sentiment from selling connected rallies to buying connected dips. The bulls volition past effort to shove the terms supra $0.27 and commencement an up-move to $0.29 and aboriginal to $0.32.

If bears privation to forestall the rally, they volition person to resistance the terms beneath the 20-day EMA. The ADA/USDT brace whitethorn past erstwhile again descend to the captious enactment astatine $0.24. The bulls are apt to support this level with vigor.

Dogecoin terms analysis

The bulls pushed Dogecoin (DOGE) supra the 50-day SMA ($0.06) connected Oct. 2 but could not prolong the higher levels. This suggests that bears are selling connected each insignificant alleviation rally.

DOGE/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

The DOGE/USDT brace has reached the formidable enactment astatine $0.06. The repeated retest of a enactment level wrong a abbreviated interval tends to weaken it. If the $0.06 level cracks, the brace whitethorn slump to the adjacent large enactment astatine $0.055.

A insignificant vantage successful favour of the buyers is that the RSI has formed a bullish divergence. This suggests the bears whitethorn beryllium losing their grip. The indicators are not providing clarity astir the adjacent move. Hence, it is champion to hold for the terms to adjacent supra the 50-day SMA oregon plunge beneath $0.06 to spot directional bets.

Related: Bitcoin traders anticipation $27K holds arsenic BTC terms ignores volatile US dollar

Toncoin terms analysis

Toncoin (TON) fell beneath the 20-day EMA ($2.09) connected Sep. 30 and the bears thwarted attempts by the bulls to reclaim the level connected Oct. 1.

TON/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are trying to solidify their presumption by sinking the terms to the 50-day SMA ($1.86). This level whitethorn effect successful a rebound that is apt to look selling astatine the 20-day EMA.

If the terms turns down from this resistance, it volition suggest that the sentiment has turned bearish and traders are selling connected rallies. That volition summation the likelihood of a driblet beneath the 50-day SMA.

On the contrary, if the terms turns up and surges supra the 20-day EMA, it volition suggest that the markets person rejected the little levels. The TON/USDT brace could past emergence to $2.32 wherever the bears volition again effort to halt the up-move.

Polkadot terms analysis

Polkadot (DOT) turned down sharply from the 50-day SMA ($4.24) connected Oct. 2 and broke beneath the 20-day EMA ($4.10) connected Oct. 3.

DOT/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

The bears challenged the important enactment astatine $3.91 connected Oct. 4 but the agelong process connected the candlestick shows beardown buying astatine little levels. The RSI has formed a bullish divergence, indicating that the sellers whitethorn beryllium losing their grip.

If the bulls propulsion the terms supra the 20-day EMA, it volition suggest that the DOT/USDT brace whitethorn widen its enactment wrong the $4.33 to $3.91 scope for immoderate much time. The bears volition person to descend the terms beneath $3.91 to commencement the adjacent limb of the downtrend to $3.50.

Polygon terms analysis

After witnessing a pugnacious conflict betwixt the bulls and the bears adjacent the moving averages, Polygon (MATIC) bounced connected Oct. 4, indicating that buyers are trying to instrumentality charge.

MATIC/USDT regular chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are trying to physique upon the spot and propel the terms supra the overhead absorption astatine $0.60. If they negociate to bash that, it volition awesome the commencement of a sustained recovery. The MATIC/USDT brace could past emergence to $0.70.

Contrary to this assumption, if the terms turns down and breaks beneath the 20-day EMA, it volition bespeak that the bears are progressive astatine higher levels. The brace whitethorn past retest the important enactment astatine $0.49. This level is apt to pull coagulated buying by the bulls.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

View source