ProShares ETF's Bitcoin stash hits $1.27B as BTC eyes $50K by mid-April

2 years ago

Strong inflows into the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) successful the past 2 weeks pushed its Bitcoin (BTC) vulnerability to a caller grounds high.

No Bitcoin outflows contempt 'rollover' risks

The fund, which uses futures contracts to summation vulnerability to Bitcoin's terms movements, had a grounds 28,450 BTC nether its absorption — worthy astir $1.27 cardinal astatine today's terms — arsenic of March 24, compared to astir 26,000 BTC a period before, according to official data from ProShares.

ProShares Bitcoin ETF holdings arsenic of March 24, 2022. Source: Official Website

Interestingly, the inflows appeared successful the days starring up to the "rollover" of BITO's 3,846 March aboriginal contracts successful the week ending March 25.

To recap, a rollover involves traders moving their futures contracts arsenic their expiry nears to a longer-dated contract, truthful to support the aforesaid position.

BITO's rolling periods typically follows up with an summation successful Bitcoin nett outflows, noted Arcane Research successful its latest report, portion citing the past rolling play owed to the marketplace uncertainty caused by the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

ProShares BITO AUM. Source: Arcane Research

But connected March 21 it besides witnessed an inflow of 225 BTC to its coffers conscionable arsenic BITO rolled its 437 March contracts to April. That prompted Arcane to spot a increasing organization request for the fund. It wrote successful its report:

"The beardown inflows to BITO suggest that bitcoin appetite done accepted concern vehicles is increasing."

BITO has witnessed accordant nett inflows for the remainder of this week, according to further information provided by Glassnode.

Purpose Bitcoin ETF flows. Source: Glassnode

Bitcoin to $50K adjacent month?

The inflows to ProShares Bitcoin ETF summation coincided with a rally successful the spot BTC marketplace connected March 25.

BTC/USD regular terms chart. Source: TradingView

On Friday, Bitcoin climbed different 2.5% to implicit $45,000, its highest levels successful implicit 3 weeks. Alexander Mamasidikov, co-founder of crypto wallet work MinePlex, noted that that BTC's terms could leap to $50,000 next.

"The maturation seen successful the ProShares BTC ETF to a caller all-time precocious of 28,000 BTC is impervious that the clamor for a Bitcoin-linked Exchange Traded Fund merchandise is backed by an progressive demand," helium told Cointelegraph, adding:

"These affirmative terms inclination activities person impacted BTC frankincense acold and a sustained accumulation oregon concern from some retail and organization investors is poised to propulsion the coin to signifier beardown enactment supra $50,000 towards mid-April."

No emotion for Grayscale?

Interestingly, institutions person been picking ProShares Bitcoin EFT implicit its rival Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), a money that has been trading astatine a 25% discount to spot BTC.

Grayscale Discount to NAV chart. Source: YCharts

The contented with picking GBTC implicit BITO is that its discount continues to grow, which means investors would stay astatine the hazard of underperforming spot Bitcoin, astatine a overmuch higher complaint that they hazard with BITO that trades astir 2% little than the existent BTC prices.

Nonetheless, determination is inactive a slim accidental of GBTC emerging arsenic a winner. Namely, Grayscale Investments, the New York-based concern steadfast backing GBTC, has expressed interests successful converting the spot money into a spot Bitcoin-backed ETF. If it happens, GBTC's 25% discount should instrumentality to zero.

Grayscale Investments BTC holding. Source: Coinglass

"Buying BITO shares guarantees you volition underperform Bitcoin," said Ryan Wilday, a seasoned fiscal expert successful an investigation published February , adding:

"And buying GBTC shares apt results successful akin oregon worse underperformance compared to BITO, with a precise slim accidental of outsized show successful the lawsuit GBTC is turned into a spot ETF."

Related: Record GBTC discount whitethorn spark $100K Bitcoin terms emergence — analyst

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has never approved a spot Bitcoin ETF application, believing BTC is susceptible to terms manipulation.

The views and opinions expressed present are solely those of the writer and bash not needfully bespeak the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, you should behaviour your ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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