Realized losses from FTX collapse peaked at $9B, far below earlier crises

1 year ago

Weekly-realized losses peaked astatine $20.5 cardinal erstwhile Terra Luna (LUNC) imploded and reached $33 cardinal erstwhile 3AC and Celsius collapsed, according to Chainalysis.

Realized losses from FTX illness  peaked astatine  $9B, acold   beneath  earlier crises

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Blockchain analytics steadfast Chainalysis has attempted to enactment the FTX illness into position — comparing highest weekly-realized losses successful the aftermath of the exchange’s illness compared to erstwhile large crypto collapses successful 2022.

The Dec. 14 report found the depegging of Terra USD (UST) successful May saw weekly-realized losses highest astatine $20.5 billion, portion the subsequent illness of Three Arrows Capital and Celsius successful June saw weekly-realized losses highest astatine $33 billion. 

In comparison, play realized losses during the FTX saga peaked astatine $9 cardinal successful the week starting Nov. 7, and person been reducing play since. 

1/ Our information suggests that FTX’s demise hasn’t been crypto investors’ biggest contented this year. Both the depegging of Terra’s UST token & the illness weeks aboriginal of Celsius & Three Arrows Capital (3AC) drove overmuch bigger realized losses. https://t.co/tWpX9qjY6o pic.twitter.com/TI2eJSVXaW

— Chainalysis (@chainalysis) December 14, 2022

Chainalysis said the information suggests that by the clip the FTX debacle took spot successful November, investors person already been deed with the “heaviest” crypto events this year.

“The information [...] suggests that arsenic of now, the heaviest hitting [crypto] events were already down investors by the clip the FTX debacle took place.”

The analytics steadfast calculated full realized losses by looking astatine idiosyncratic wallets and measuring the worth of assets arsenic they were acquired and subtracting the worth of these assets astatine the clip they were sent elsewhere.

However, the information whitethorn inactive person overestimated realized losses, arsenic it counted immoderate question from 1 wallet to different arsenic a merchantability event. Chainalysis aalso noted that the illustration doesn’t instrumentality different statistic into account, specified arsenic idiosyncratic funds stored connected FTX’s speech which are frozen.

“We can’t presume that immoderate cryptocurrency sent from a fixed wallet is needfully going to beryllium liquidated, truthful deliberation of these numbers arsenic an precocious bound for realized gains of a fixed wallet,” it explained.

Related: Was the autumn of FTX truly crypto’s ‘Lehman moment?’

While Chainalysis’ information covers realized losses, on-chain analytics level CryptoQuant precocious shared information connected however nett unrealized losses for Bitcoin (BTC) was impacted pursuing the FTX collapse. 

It found that unrealized losses for BTC maxed astatine -31.7% pursuing the FTX illness compared to the illness of 3AC/Celsius and Terra Luna, which lone peaked astatine -19.4%.

Net unrealized profit/loss for Bitcoin. Source CryptoQuant.

Analytics information steadfast Glassnode besides highlighted the precocious level of unrealized losses pursuing the FTX illness successful a Nov. 17 tweet, comparing it to the highest of -36% seen during the 2018 carnivore market.

#Bitcoin Long-Term Holders are presently experiencing acute fiscal stress, holding an mean of -33% successful unrealized losses.

This is comparable to the lows of the 2018 carnivore market, which saw a highest unrealized nonaccomplishment of -36% connected average.

Chart: https://t.co/qIGAxtSyGZ pic.twitter.com/BBtbOtApy1

— glassnode (@glassnode) November 17, 2022

The gains oregon losses associated with an concern are considered unrealized up until the constituent that the concern is sold. The enactment of selling "realizes" these losses oregon gains. Unrealizes losses are besides known arsenic insubstantial losses.

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