Russia Woes Increase Volatility Across Markets, Especially Bitcoin

2 years ago

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Volatility Spikes, Bitcoin Follows

We person covered the narration betwixt equity marketplace volatility and bitcoin terms enactment extensively since the commencement of the caller year, arsenic the inverse correlation betwixt the terms of bitcoin and the VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index) remains highly strong. Volatility spiked yet again contiguous arsenic markets reacted to Putin’s code from yesterday, recognizing the independency and sovereignty of the Donetsk People’s Republic and the Luhansk People’s Republic.

Markets respond  to Putin’s code   arsenic  investors determination   to information   crossed  hazard  assets, which is negatively impacting the terms  of bitcoin and tech stocks.

Inverse correlation betwixt the terms of bitcoin and the VIX remains highly strong.

With bitcoin presently down 43% from the highs astatine the clip of writing, different assets (specifically the tech sector) person been getting hammered arsenic of late. We compared the show of bitcoin since its all-time precocious to major, prime tech stocks crossed Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Tesla, and Facebook below. 

Markets respond  to Putin’s code   arsenic  investors determination   to information   crossed  hazard  assets, which is negatively impacting the terms  of bitcoin and tech stocks.

Tech stocks and bitcoin demonstrating mediocre show since November 2021

While bitcoin is the worst performer of the clump implicit the selected clip period, marketplace volatility successful bitcoin is historically elevated compared to the different plus classes, owed to the boom/bust monetization and adoption cycles of the monetary asset.

Bitcoin And The Dollar

Similarly, we person monitored the DXY (U.S. Dollar Currency Index) and its narration to the bitcoin market, arsenic a strengthening USD comparative to different overseas currencies. 

Markets respond  to Putin’s code   arsenic  investors determination   to information   crossed  hazard  assets, which is negatively impacting the terms  of bitcoin and tech stocks.

A strengthening dollar seems to inversely correlate with a selling disconnected of bitcoin and different hazard markets.

A alternatively absorbing improvement precocious has been the correlation betwixt the Russian ruble and the terms of bitcoin implicit caller months. While planetary hazard markets person been selling disconnected connected quality that Russia could prosecute successful struggle with Ukraine, the ruble has weakened against the dollar, successful tandem with bitcoin’s fall.

Markets respond  to Putin’s code   arsenic  investors determination   to information   crossed  hazard  assets, which is negatively impacting the terms  of bitcoin and tech stocks.

Potential correlation of Russian ruble and the terms of bitcoin

While determination are a multitude of reasons for this imaginable correlation, it is astir apt owed to the formation to information crossed hazard assets (into the dollar) since the 4th fourth of 2021. 

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