Santa Came Early In Crypto? Bitcoin Rally May Have Passed

1 year ago

Bitcoin saw affirmative terms enactment precocious but failed to travel done and could stay rangebound for December. The cryptocurrency roseate from a caller yearly debased astatine $15,500, and marketplace participants were expecting further profits, but the marketplace has stalled. 

As of this writing, Bitcoin is moving betwixt $16,900 and $17,100. The cryptocurrency inactive maintains profits from its erstwhile week, but today’s trading league has leaned towards the downside. 

Bitcoin BTC BTCUSDTBTC’s terms moving sideways connected the regular chart. Source: BTCUSDT Tradingview

No Christmas Miracle For Bitcoin?

In a caller marketplace update, trading table QCP Capital highlighted the affirmative show of Bitcoin and Ethereum successful December. These integer assets person been intimately pursuing the trajectory of the banal market.  

The steadfast believes equities person been showing spot connected the backmost of a imaginable U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) pivot. The fiscal instauration hinted astatine moderating its monetary argumentation and reducing its involvement complaint hike program. 

This imaginable alteration triggered “strong” bullish momentum for the banal market, allowing Bitcoin and Ethereum to emergence 13% and 22% successful the past 2 weeks. Despite the illness of FTX successful November and the fearfulness of contagion, its worth is astir backmost to October levels. 

In this context, marketplace participants person been speedy to telephone retired the extremity of the carnivore market, but QCP Capital claims that determination are reasons to support a bearish bias. For example, robust economical information from the U.S. mightiness enactment the Fed to proceed its tightening policy. 

QCP Capital stated the pursuing regarding the existent terms enactment successful the bequest fiscal marketplace and its interaction connected the crypto market:

While galore are saying that BTC and ETH are lagging equities and should play drawback up, alternatively we spot it arsenic equities having overshot fundamentals and volition soon beryllium reeled back.

Thus, the possibilities of the banal marketplace pushing down connected Bitcoin and Ethereum are high. There are indications of imaginable downside unit for stocks, crypto, and hazard connected assets. 

Analyst Caleb Franzen pointed to the VIX index; an indicator utilized to measurement volatility successful bequest fiscal markets. This metric has provided a coagulated strategy for hazard plus buyers successful 2022. The expert said: 

The CBOE Market Volatility Index #VIX fell beneath 20 past week, but has launched higher today! As I’ve shared since August, the apical strategy of 2022 has been:

• Buy hazard assets erstwhile $VIX > 30

• Sell hazard assets erstwhile $VIX < 20

Regardless of the bullish expectations, the crypto marketplace mightiness spot much selling unit successful the coming weeks. This month’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) volition shed much airy connected the absorption of the macroeconomic scenery and the scenery for risk-on assets, specified arsenic Bitcoin. 

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