Worst Uptober ever? Bitcoin price risks first ‘red’ October in 8 years

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Bitcoin remained reddish contempt returning to the apical of its section trading range, starring to warnings of the “worst Uptober ever” from disappointed bulls.

Worst Uptober ever? Bitcoin terms risks archetypal ‘red’ October successful 8 years

Key points:

Bitcoin is connected way for 1 of its worst October performances since 2013.
Previous bull marketplace years offered a minimum of 40% gains.
The Federal Reserve whitethorn connection a last-minute reprieve astatine adjacent week’s meeting.

Bitcoin (BTC) “Uptober” hangs successful the equilibrium arsenic terms threatens to people the archetypal “red” October since 2018.

Data from monitoring assets CoinGlass shows that astatine existent prices, BTC/USD is 2.3% beneath its monthly starting level.

Bearish October hinges connected 4% BTC terms loss

October 2025 has disappointed Bitcoin bulls truthful far, arsenic an aboriginal surge to caller all-time highs rapidly turned into a liquidation nightmare.

Now acting successful a narrow range betwixt astir $107,000 and $111,500, the BTC terms has overmuch crushed to marque up by the monthly candle close.

CoinGlass demonstrates conscionable however acold down the marketplace present is: the mean upside for October since 2013 has been 20%, which would enactment Bitcoin astatine implicit $130,000.

Alternatively, BTC/USD lone needs to extremity October 4% little to seal its worst show successful 12 years.

THIS IS THE WORST UPTOBER EVER.

The lone worse 1 was 2014 (-13%).

2013: +60%
2017: +50%
2021: +40%
2025: -4%

Bad Uptober usually means 1 thing: MOONVEMBER. pic.twitter.com/6BMrNp4afD

— Rekt Fencer (@rektfencer) October 23, 2025

The representation is peculiarly atrocious for a bull marketplace twelvemonth — in 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin gained astatine slightest 40% successful October.

Its weakest tenth period of the twelvemonth was 2014, with a 13% downside.

Now oregon ne'er for “Uptober” reclaim

Meanwhile, caller information from web economist Timothy Peterson puts 2025 BTC terms enactment into perspective.

The latest bull marketplace stands retired from the rest, charts uploaded to X this week amusement — but not successful the mode that bulls would like.

At the commencement of the month, however, Peterson observed that the bulk of “Uptober” upside tends to hap successful the 2nd half.

“60% of Bitcoin's full-year show occurs aft October 3rd,” helium added successful anterior probe from September.

News that the US Federal Reserve could awesome the extremity of quantitative tightening (QT) astatine its Oct. 29 gathering could supply a “huge signal” for markets, Peterson said.

As Cointelegraph reported, expectations are that the Fed volition little involvement rates contempt a deficiency of ostentation data, pointing to much favorable conditions for crypto and hazard assets going forward.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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