3 reasons why the MANA and SAND metaverse token rally could end soon

1 year ago

The metaverse hype that began successful 2021 dissolved astir wholly by the extremity of 2022 arsenic the apical projects successful the space, Decentraland, and The Sandbox, mislaid 95% of their marketplace capitalization. The astir salient crushed for the autumn was lack of usage growth

Still, the metaverse communicative is acold from dormant and volition turn successful the future. Reportedly, Apple volition motorboat its VR cogwheel sometime successful outpouring 2023. The announcement was a affirmative catalyst for MANA and SAND, causing a double-digit terms surge.

While there’s grounds of affirmative buying measurement supporting the pump, the anemic fundamentals of metaverse platforms and overheated marketplace indicators suggest that the terms pump risks reversing quickly.

The Apple pump and dump

Facebook's (Meta) foray into the metaverse was 1 of the astir salient catalysts for metaverse tokens. The thought for Decentraland and The Sandbox's maturation is that a decentralized metaverse would flourish much than Meta's centralized version.

However, exertion has yet to go fashionable among the masses. In 2022, the percentage of VR users among Steam gamers was little than 2%, and the usage has yet to turn implicit the past 2 years. This is discouraging for the technology's adoption due to the fact that the gaming assemblage was the archetypal to clasp it.

The exertion suffers from a cardinal contented wherever VR headsets are unsuitable for agelong hours. Studies person found that prolonged usage of headsets tin origin intelligence wellness problems.

Apple's caller VR quality caused an uptick successful their metaverse tokens, but it doesn't needfully construe to the occurrence of these projects. Samsung and Oculus, owned by Meta, already person devices successful the market, raising the question astir the imaginable interaction of Apple's caller devices connected VR adoption.

Poor usage information hinders the world of a sustained metaverse token rally

Arguably, metaverse euphoria peaked successful the past 4th of the aforesaid twelvemonth erstwhile Facebook rebranded to Meta. However, the usage statistic of the 2 astir fashionable metaverse platforms, Sandbox and Decentraland, remained unimpressive passim the terms surge. Less than 5,000 unsocial progressive wallets (UAW) were interacting with the astute contracts astatine the highest connected some platforms.

The Sandbox unsocial wallet addresses interacting with a dapp's astute contracts. Source: DappRadar
Decentraland unsocial wallet addresses interacting with a dapp's astute contracts. Source: DappRadar

Since then, the usage has decreased adjacent further, with little than 1,000 UAWs per day, reflecting unspeakable fundamentals.

Moreover, portion the token prices person jumped, the NFT income for Sandbox lands haven’t improved with akin prices and measurement since the past 4th of 2022. It erstwhile again confirms that enactment crossed the level is uneventful.

Token dilution risks remain

Decentraland is besides connected the creditor database of Genesis, which filed for bankruptcy past week. According to the tribunal filings, the defunct lending steadfast owes Decentraland $55 million.

However, according to Decentraland's Discord, Genesis owes lone $7.8 million. The assemblage spokesperson added, "The Treasury remains steadfast and the recognition magnitude does not correspond a important portion of the Foundation's treasury."

The Genesis issue has been agelong known; thus, it's imaginable that the enactment mightiness person dissolved the contented by now. However, it volition apt impact the gait of its ecosystem growth, which is small, to statesman with.

On the different hand, the SAND token suffers from the hazard of dilution owed to monthly unlocks until the extremity of Q3 2024. If marketplace conditions bash not improve, immoderate investors whitethorn beryllium inclined to merchantability their information of the tokens.

Despite its shortcomings, arsenic agelong arsenic there’s a anticipation that the exertion volition go a portion of the future. The marketplace is continually going to admit the archetypal movers successful the space. The occupation is semipermanent visions whitethorn not prolong abbreviated to medium-term rallies.

MANA/USD regular terms chart. Source: TradingView

The abrupt spike aft days of debased volatility has caused the Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric to amusement overheated readings. The concern becomes much challenging arsenic the terms is trading astatine absorption from the breakdown portion of the FTX collapse.

Nansen information shows speech inflows for MANA and SAND were $8.4 cardinal and $12.6 million, respectively. It suggests that much investors moved to merchantability than bargain into a affirmative breakout.

Nevertheless, the caller uptick successful Decentraland was supported by steadfast volume, arsenic reported by information from analytics firm, Santiment, which is encouraging for buyers. But MANA/USD indispensable instrumentality retired the $0.735 absorption and enactment country for continued upside.

SAND/USD regular terms chart. Source: TradingView

A akin trading set-up for SAND sees absorption for the token astir $0.93. If buyers are supra the conquer these levels for the metaverse tokens, we tin expect the rally to continue. However, based connected fundamentals and short-term risks, it remains improbable if the terms tin interruption supra the resistance. 

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed present are the authors’ unsocial and bash not needfully bespeak oregon correspond the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

View source