Avalanche (AVAX) price is up, but do fundamentals support the rally?

1 year ago

Avalanche (AVAX) witnessed a meteoric commencement to 2023, gaining 98% successful 30 days, and traders are present funny astir whether the rally volition widen passim February. AVAX’s year-to-date gains for 2023 person outpaced those of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH).

Recent reasons for AVAX’s rally tin beryllium attributed to an Amazon concern announcement connected Jan. 11. The concern is meant to easy deploy nodes connected the Avalanche blockchain with Amazon Web Services (AWS). Ava Labs, which supports the Avalanche ecosystem, hopes the partnership increases blockchain usage for enterprises and governments.

While AVAX terms has benefited from the news, immoderate analysts foretell that the move could person been a bull trap.

Let’s excavation into the fundamentals to spot if on-chain web enactment supports the caller AVAX rally.

AVAX fees from DeFi are up

After the AWS news, AVAX terms was not the lone metric seeing a speedy rise. On Jan. 14, Avalanche web deed a year-to-date precocious of $31,218 AVAX fees received. The summation successful fees compared to the erstwhile 30 days is 59%, signaling that affirmative terms appreciation helped boost the fees that the web received.

Avalanche web fees and AVAX price. Source: TokenTerminal

While the Avalanche interest basal is increasing, it inactive lags down apical EVM-compatible blockchains similar Ethereum, Binance Chain (BNB), Optimism (OP) and Polygon (MATIC). Over the past 30 days, the fees Avalanche has generated fertile 9th retired of each blockchains.

Top blockchains sorted by fees. Source: TokenTerminal

Notably, layer-2 rival Polygon earned adjacent to 4 times the magnitude of fees compared to Avalanche. Even with the astounding maturation thaAvalanche has experienced successful 2023, the web volition request to substantially summation fees to overtake much blockchains.

Active addresses and users are down

A motion of blockchain wellness is the fig of progressive addresses, users and transactions. Despite reaching a year-to-date precocious connected Jan. 18 of 1.84 cardinal transactions, Avalanche’s transaction number is trending down.

A akin downtrend is witnessed erstwhile looking astatine progressive addresses successful the Avalanche ecosystem. Active addresses denote transactions taking playing connected unsocial wallets for a fixed day. After reaching a year-to-date highest of 54,978 progressive addresses connected Jan. 31, lone 34,624 progressive addresses were registered the pursuing day.

Active addresses and transactions. Source: Avalanche

The downtrend successful Avalanche enactment is creating further separation betwixt different blockchains. According to TokenTerminal, Avalanche’s all-time precocious (ATH) fig of regular progressive users is 131,000, which is dwarfed by Polygon’s ATH of 737,000. Avalanche is present acold from its all-time precocious of regular users, registering lone 44,000.

Blockchains sorted by regular progressive users, Source: TokenTerminal

For blockchains to make sustainable fees, determination needs to beryllium regular progressive users participating connected the network.

AAVE dominates Avalanche DApps

The progressive users connected Avalanche look to person a penchant for utilizing Aave (AAVE) connected the AVAX blockchain. Over 36% of each Avalanche transactions travel done the Aave protocol. Investors person staked implicit $353 cardinal connected Aave’s Avalanche version, acold surpassing the second-most fashionable protocol by verified full locked worth (TVL), the Trader Joe decentralized speech (DEX).

Top Avalanche DApps. Source: DefiLlama

While Aave and Trader Joe are starring the Avalanche blockchain, erstwhile looking astatine DEX enactment connected different blockchains, they witnesser acold little trading volume. DEX measurement straight correlates to the fees that a protocol receives.

Ethereum DEX enactment leads the mode with implicit $1.6 cardinal successful regular volume, whereas Avalance lone sees astir $104 million.

DEX enactment by blockchain. Source: DefiLlama

While Avalanche is presently witnessing immense maturation from the AWS announcement, the blockchain is inactive tiny compared to competitors. The extremity of the AWS concern was to assistance summation web enactment by reducing barriers to entry. Reaching the extremity whitethorn summation Avalanche adoption but different ecosystems look to beryllium retired to a ample and aboriginal lead.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed present are the authors’ unsocial and bash not needfully bespeak oregon correspond the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

View source