Bitcoin must reclaim this key 2025 level to avoid new lows — Research

1 week ago

Bitcoin (BTC) neared $90,000 astatine the March 24 Wall Street unfastened arsenic investigation warned of “conflicting signs and signals.”

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC terms regular gains adjacent 3% successful risk-asset relief

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting $88,772 connected Bitstamp — its highest levels since March 7.

Bitcoin followed stocks by opening the week higher aft astir a period of sell-side pressure. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite scale were up 1.6% and 2%, respectively, astatine the clip of writing.

Commenting, trading assets The Kobeissi Letter explained the upside arsenic a affirmative absorption to quality that the US authorities was easing the severity of caller commercialized tariffs acceptable to go effectual connected April 2.

It quoted sources reporting that “sector-specific tariffs” would look alternatively of broad rules.

“The S&P 500 is present up +75 points connected the news,” it added.

S&P 500 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Crypto marketplace momentum had already gained acknowledgment to rumors of the US perchance using gains connected its golden reserves to acquisition BTC.

“If we really recognize the gains connected [these holdings], that would beryllium a budget-neutral mode to get much Bitcoin,” Bo Hines, enforcement manager of the President’s Council of Advisers connected Digital Assets, said successful an interrogation with the Crypto successful America podcast past week.

In his latest marketplace investigation connected March 24, Keith Alan, co-founder of trading assets Material Indicators, suggested that the quality had not fallen connected deaf ears.

Despite the comparatively humble BTC terms uptick, helium wrote successful an X thread, “the announcement that the medication was considering selling Gold Reserves to bargain Bitcoin surely gave speculators immoderate hopium.”

“With golden successful ATH territory, and BTC successful a correction, this would beryllium an opportune clip to instrumentality immoderate nett connected Gold and bargain Bitcoin,” helium added.

XAU/USD 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

BTC needs cardinal enactment reclaim to debar caller lows

Continuing, Alan laid retired 2 cardinal prerequisites for sustained BTC terms upside.

Related: RSI breaks 4-month downtrend: 5 things to cognize successful Bitcoin this week

The 21-day elemental moving mean (SMA), presently astatine $84,674, arsenic good arsenic the 2025 yearly unfastened astatine astir $93,300, indispensable some beryllium reclaimed arsenic support.

BTC/USD 1-day illustration with 21SMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

“With conflicting signs and signals, however tin we archer if Bitcoin is returning to a way to ATH territory oregon if this is simply a processing bull trap? The reply is knowing what your validation/invalidation levels are,” helium explained.

The yearly open, successful particular, would beryllium crucial, with Alan arguing that until it is reclaimed, “there is an accrued likelihood that terms volition retest the lows.” 

“If/when that happens, I'll beryllium buying those dips erstwhile buying resumes,” helium concluded.

This nonfiction does not incorporate concern proposal oregon recommendations. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, and readers should behaviour their ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

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