Bitcoin price hits 1-week lows as Fed rate hike rumors unsettle market

1 year ago

Bitcoin (BTC) dipped further beneath $19,000 connected Oct. 21 arsenic rumors circulated implicit the United States Federal Reserve.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle illustration (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Fed inactive connected way for large November complaint hike

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD abruptly dropping earlier the Wall Street open, hitting lows of $18,660 connected Bitstamp.

A betterment took the brace higher, and it was attempting reclaim $19,000 arsenic enactment astatine the clip of writing.

The enactment came arsenic commentators claimed the Fed was softening its argumentation connected complaint hikes up of the Nov. 1–2 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.

Citing mainstream media quotations from Fed officials, they suggested that the November hike could beryllium the past 75-basis-point adjustment, with smaller ones following.

“Some officials are much anxious to calibrate their complaint mounting to trim the hazard of overtightening,” Nick Timiraos, main economics analogous astatine the Wall Street Journal, summarized.

“But they won’t privation to dramatically loosen fiscal conditions if and erstwhile they hike by 50 bps (instead of 75). This gathering could let officials to get aligned connected adjacent steps.”

Timiraos came successful for skepticism pursuing his words, with immoderate accusing him of "leaking" information which would beryllium delicate for markets.

"How silly that there's a designated Fed leaker that tin driblet a timely tweet thread and instantly interaction planetary markets," fashionable commentator Stack Hodler wrote.

"Imagine the havoc if idiosyncratic hacked this guys relationship and leaked a 100bps raise. Yields rocket and we get UK pension situation 2.0 — what a janky monetary system."

According to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 75-basis-point hike adjacent period remained astir guaranteed, with a specified 6.2% accidental of 50 ground points.

Target complaint probabilities chart. Souce: CME Group

Dollar retreats aft yen seals much lows

U.S. equities saw a assured commencement to trading connected the day, portion the U.S. dollar swiftly mislaid crushed aft earlier causing caller symptom for trading spouse currencies.

Related: Global recession whitethorn past until adjacent 2024 Bitcoin halving — Elon Musk

The U.S. dollar scale (DXY) was beneath 113 astatine the clip of writing, having spiked to adjacent 114 hours prior.

U.S. dollar scale (DXY) 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingView

“It’s each astir DXY and the consolidation betwixt caller highs and D1 uptrend,” fashionable crypto trader and expert Pierre explained, citing earlier analysis.

In a motion of however problematic the dollar's emergence was becoming, the Japanese yen weakened past the psychologically important 150 people — a 32-year low.

"Unless the BOJ gives successful in its enslaved output suppression, the yen volition proceed to powerfulness lower. JPY 150 breeched," Alasdair Macleod, thead of Research for Goldmoney, forecast.

USD/JPY 1-month candle chart. Source: TradingView

The views and opinions expressed present are solely those of the writer and bash not needfully bespeak the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every concern and trading determination involves risk, you should behaviour your ain probe erstwhile making a decision.

View source