Bitcoin Struggles as Hang Seng Cheers U.S.-China Trade Talks; U.S. Inflation Eyed

4 hours ago

Major cryptocurrencies showed small bullish momentum Monday, adjacent arsenic hopes for the U.S.-China commercialized talks lifted Asian stocks.

Bitcoin BTC, the starring cryptocurrency by marketplace value, traded flat-to-negative adjacent $105,650, having carved retired a doji candle, a motion of indecision, connected Sunday, according to information root TradingView.

Data from Blockchain.com showed a marked slowdown successful web activity, with the seven-day moving mean of regular on-chain transactions falling to 315.48K, the lowest successful astatine slightest a year.

Payments-focused cryptocurrency XRP struggled to stitchery upside traction contempt topping a bearish trendline from the mid-May highs. The cryptocurrency changed hands astatine $2.24 astatine property time, down implicit 1% connected the time (UTC). Volatility whitethorn summation this week arsenic the XRP Ledger's APEX 2025 league kicks disconnected successful Singapore.

Meme cryptocurrency DOGE traded astir 2% lower, closing successful connected 18 cents, having failed to found a foothold supra the 100-day elemental moving mean (SMA) implicit the weekend.

Hang Seng tops 24K

Hong Kong's Hang Seng scale roseate 1.3%, topping the 24,000 people for the archetypal clip since March 24, according to information root TradingView. The determination came successful effect to the optimism astir the U.S.-China commercialized talks this week.

"Optimism is arsenic precocious arsenic it's been since Trump's predetermination arsenic apical commercialized deputies volition conscionable successful London starting connected Monday. There are indications that talks volition spell each week and Trump himself is optimistic," ForexLive's Chief Currency Analyst Adam Button said successful a blog post.

"The gathering should spell precise well," President Donald Trump said connected Truth Social Friday, announcing the caller circular of commercialized talks successful London.

Other Asian indices, specified arsenic South Korea's KOSPI and China's Shanghai Composite, besides gained crushed contempt the deepening user and mill gross deflation successful China.

China's deflation worsens

China's user prices fell 0.1% year-over-year successful May, according to information from the National Bureau of Statistics released connected Monday. The CPI archetypal turned antagonistic successful February.

Meanwhile, the shaper terms index, oregon mill gross prices, fell 3.3% year-over-year successful May, registering a sharper diminution than the 3.2% driblet analysts had expected. Factory gross prices person been successful deflation since October 2022.

According to Robin Brooks, elder chap successful the Global Economy and Development programme astatine the Brookings Institution, the U.S. tariffs are generating a deflationary daze for large exporters similar China.

"China's shaper terms ostentation for user goods is down to its lowest level since the 2008 crisis. U.S. tariffs volition present propulsion China into full-on deflation. All indispensable conditions for deflation are there: anemic depletion and a indebtedness overhang. U.S. tariffs are present the catalyst...," Brooks said connected X.

The worsening deflation could punctual China to stimulate home request with further liquidity easing.

China’s cardinal slope successful May cut the key involvement rates by 10 ground points to a historical debased portion reducing the reserve request ratio, releasing liquidity into the market. Last week, the state-run China Securities Journal reported that the People's Bank of China whitethorn little the reserve request ratio further aboriginal this twelvemonth to enactment maturation and restart authorities enslaved trading.

More Chinese stimulus could bode good for fiscal markets, including cryptocurrencies.

Focus connected U.S. CPI

The U.S. user terms scale for May owed Wednesday volition beryllium scrutinized by markets for clues that Trump's tariffs are adding to terms pressures successful the economy.

The header CPI is seen matching April's gait of 0.2% month-on-month growth, equating to an annualized 2.5% emergence versus April's 2.3% increase, according to FXStreet. Meawhile, the halfway inflation, which excludes the volatile nutrient and vigor component, is forecast to person ticked higher to 2.9% successful May from 2.8% successful April.

Economists astatine Barclays expect the information to amusement archetypal signs of tariffs-related terms increases crossed wide scope of halfway goods.

A hotter-than-expected people could dent Fed complaint cuts, perchance injecting downside volatility successful fiscal markets.

View source