Do Bitcoin halvings matter? Strategy buys outpace new BTC supply by 700%

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Michael Saylor’s Strategy is utilizing its preferred stock, STRC, to bargain Bitcoin (BTC) astatine an accelerating pace. But tin this make a much almighty proviso daze than the halving?

Key takeaway:

  • Strategy raised $1.18 cardinal via MSTR shares to money Bitcoin purchases past week.

  • Bitcoin’s adjacent rhythm whitethorn beryllium driven little by the halving calendar and much by large-scale firm accumulation.

Strategy outpacing caller Bitcoin mined 7 times

In the week ending March 15, Strategy bought 22,337 BTC, funded partially by astir $1.18 cardinal from STRC sales.

That is equivalent to astir 7 weeks of planetary Bitcoin mining output astatine 450 BTC per day.

The week before, betwixt March 2 and March 8, Strategy bought different 17,994 BTC for $1.28 billion, including astir $377 cardinal raised done STRC, oregon astir 5 to six weeks of recently mined BTC.

STRC at-the-money income analysis. Source: BitcoinQuant.CO

During highest sessions, specified arsenic March 12, STRC-related enactment unsocial was estimated to enactment purchases of much than 4,000 BTC successful a azygous day, astir 9 days’ worthy of mean caller mining supply.

Broader post-halving information shows firm treasuries, led by Strategy’s STRC, absorbing Bitcoin astatine astir 2.8 times the complaint of caller mining proviso implicit galore weeks.

Strategy unsocial bought astir 1.8 times the BTC mined successful shorter periods.

STRC whitethorn interruption Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle

Bitcoin’s accepted four-year cycle assumes that halvings are the market’s main proviso shock.

Every 4 years, the web halves caller BTC issuance, reducing miner selling unit and mounting the signifier for a bull run, a rhythm top, and yet a carnivore market.

Bitcoin terms show since halving. Source: Glassnode

2026 could beryllium shaping up arsenic a “bear-market year” if the four-year signifier holds, expert Benjamin Cowen said.

But Strategy’s STRC-funded buying whitethorn beryllium changing that pattern. If 1 institution tin support buying much Bitcoin than miners create, the halvings “no longer matter” arsenic the market’s main proviso shock, according to trader Grain of Salt.

Related: STRC whitethorn assistance Strategy scope 1M Bitcoin milestone earlier BlackRock

In that setup, Bitcoin’s adjacent large moves whitethorn beryllium little connected its adjacent halving successful 2028, and much connected whether Strategy tin support reducing the fig of imaginable caller wholecoiners.

BTC tin spot $400,000 accelerated astatine this STRC bargain rate

STRC added a caller furniture of demand, arsenic Bitcoin retests its six-year ascending trendline enactment connected the monthly chart.

That enactment portion antecedently marked cardinal rhythm bottoms successful 2018, 2020 and 2022. The latest retest came successful March, prompting analysts specified arsenic Vivek Sen to reason that Bitcoin whitethorn beryllium mounting up for different large rebound.

BTC/USD monthly chart. Source: Vivek Sen

Trader Rob Grittins added that a “meaningfully antithetic request structure” for Bitcoin, led by Strategy’s STRC stock sales, whitethorn trigger a caller bull marketplace aft bouncing from the six-year trendline.

The past rebound from the aforesaid trendline preceded a astir 450% rally successful BTC price. In today’s value, a akin 450% summation volition instrumentality Bitcoin to implicit $400,000, aligning with the people of aggregate analysts successful the past.

Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings are up 13.2% quarter-to-date successful Q1 2026, putting the institution connected gait for its fastest quarterly accumulation since Q4 2024.

Bitcoin Price, Bitcoin Analysis, Market Analysis, MicroStrategyStrategy Bitcoin connected the equilibrium sheet. Source: Mark Harvey

That is contempt a prevailing bearish sentiment successful the risk-on markets, led by an escalating US–Iran war.

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