Kalshi Will Pay a ‘GTA 6 Researcher’ Up to $135K as Launch Mania Builds

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Kalshi is hiring a declaration “GTA 6 Researcher” to watercourse Grand Theft Auto 6 from its Nov. 19 motorboat and study connected the game’s economy, for a fixed interest of $100,000 to $120,000 positive a $15,000 completion fee. Traders connected Kalshi and Polymarket are already betting connected the merchandise successful anticipation of the biggest amusement motorboat successful years.

Key Takeaways

  • Kalshi posted a declaration relation to watercourse Grand Theft Auto 6 from launch, paying up to $135,000 successful fees.
  • Kalshi’s GTA markets person traded astir 5.6 cardinal contracts; Polymarket’s progressive ones astir $2.5 million.
  • Take-Two says GTA 6 pre-orders are astatine “unprecedented levels” up of the Nov. 19 launch.

‘This Is a Real Job’

Kalshi published the listing connected its Ashby occupation board connected Nov. 11, nether its maturation team. It is listed arsenic a distant declaration role, and the statement sets retired a “$100,000-120,000 fixed task fee” and a “$15,000 task completion fee,” oregon up to $135,000 successful all.

“This is simply a existent job,” the posting says. “We’re looking for idiosyncratic whose parents said video games would ne'er wage the bills. They were wrong, and you tin archer them we said so.”

The researcher volition “begin astatine midnight connected Nov. 19 and play until you bushed the story,” streaming the full tally connected Twitch oregon YouTube with the camera on. Deliverables see an “official State of the Leonida Economy address,” named aft the game’s Florida-inspired fictional state, and a play probe study connected said economy. They besides see a “real-world fallout analysis: who called successful ‘sick,’ however DoorDash carried the full federation done motorboat week, and however overmuch productivity America lost.”

Kalshi wants “the idiosyncratic who finds the optimal money-making strategy, builds a spreadsheet to beryllium it, and gets accused of ruining the crippled for everyone else.” Applicants request “18+ years of beingness IRL, 10+ years of sweaty gaming, 3+ years of streaming experience,” positive their ain equipment.

“Sleep and touching writer are some allowed,” the listing adds, utilizing gamer lingo.

Traders Have Already Bet Millions connected GTA 6

The posting does not notation markets, and reads similar a selling push—notably, it sits connected Kalshi’s maturation team. GTA 6 is already a betting taxable connected some large prediction markets, with evident imaginable for much to travel that whitethorn necessitate in-depth crippled knowledge.

As of writing, Kalshi’s GTA-related markets person traded astir 5.6 cardinal contracts successful total, according to its nationalist data. Most of that is successful its release-date markets. Earlier deadlines of Sept. 30 and Oct. 31 resolved No, and “released by Nov. 30” trades astatine 99 cents. Other Kalshi markets enactment an on-time Nov. 19 merchandise astatine 98 cents, GTA 6 breaking the 24-hour gaming income grounds astatine 99 cents, and GTA 6 Online arriving earlier 2027 astatine 17 cents. Smaller markets screen which songs volition play connected the in-game radio.

On Polymarket, progressive GTA 6 events person drawn astir $2.5 cardinal successful volume. The largest, “GTA 6 motorboat postponed again?,” has traded astir $1.1 million, with Yes astatine astir 1 cent. A marketplace connected whether the crippled volition outgo $100 oregon much has traded astir $490,000, astatine good nether 1 cent. Traders enactment 77% likelihood connected a Metacritic people of 96 oregon above, and 76% connected Jason oregon Lucia, the game’s 2 protagonists, dying.

Those totals are tiny adjacent to the platforms’ sports business. Kalshi has passed $3.9 cardinal successful notional measurement successful a azygous day, counting each declaration astatine $1. All of its GTA markets combined person traded little than a 5th of 1 percent of that successful their lifetime. Polymarket, which cut unit and contractors past week, has lone 1 GTA lawsuit supra $1 million.

Markets Still to Come

Kalshi has not said what, if anything, the relation volition provender into. But its existing catalog lines up with the posting’s themes. It already lists markets connected DoorDash’s quarterly bid count, monthly video crippled advertisement spending (including November 2026), U.S. labour productivity, and Twitch subscriber counts. It has besides listed Metacritic scores for different games and Steam income charts.

On GTA 6 itself, Polymarket lists markets connected the game’s Metacritic people and connected which artists diagnostic connected its soundtrack album, and Kalshi has neither yet. Kalshi’s markets connected GTA 6 Online and a PC mentation tally into 2027 and 2028. Whether a GTA Online-like crippled system and ecosystem volition emerge, and if it volition determination its ain markets connected these platforms, remains to beryllium seen.

Take-Two Expects a ‘Historic Year’

GTA 6 is the biggest merchandise successful years for Take-Two Interactive, Rockstar Games’ genitor company, and wide expected to beryllium the largest video crippled debut of each time.

Its predecessor, GTA 5, passed $1 cardinal successful income wrong 3 days of its September 2013 launch, and has yet sold immoderate 235 cardinal copies crossed platforms including enhanced editions for much caller consoles. This time, manufacture rivals are actively adjusting their merchandise schedules to dodge the long-anticipated sequel.

“The motorboat of Grand Theft Auto 6 is 10 days distant and, with pre-orders continuing to scope unprecedented levels, we expect to present an historical twelvemonth for our company,” CEO Strauss Zelnick said successful Take-Two’s Nov. 9 net release. The institution reiterated its forecast of $8.0 cardinal to $8.2 cardinal successful nett bookings for the fiscal twelvemonth ending March 2027. It guided to $3.35 cardinal to $3.50 cardinal for the December 4th alone, aft $1.60 cardinal successful the September quarter, down 18% from a twelvemonth earlier.

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