In a caller Cointelegraph interview, James Check uses onchain information to situation fashionable Bitcoin narratives and outline his reasoning for 2026.

Bitcoin’s terms whitethorn look deceptively familiar, but according to onchain expert James Check, the marketplace beneath the aboveground has changed acold much than astir investors realize.
In a caller interrogation with Cointelegraph, Check revisits a question helium was asked earlier this year: Are we successful a bull marketplace oregon a carnivore market?
While Bitcoin (BTC) is trading adjacent akin terms levels, Check says that leverage, capitalist outgo base, and sell-side behaviour are present precise different, and each those shifts matter. In fact, a bulk of the superior presently invested successful Bitcoin was acquired astatine higher prices, leaving galore holders underwater and shaping a cautious sentiment.
One of the astir persistent myths this cycle, Check argues, is the thought that semipermanent holders simply don’t sell. Onchain information shows that coins of each ages, from months to galore years old, person been returning to the marketplace astatine an unusually accelerated pace. This supply, helium says, has played a important relation successful caller terms action, adjacent if the communicative lone caught up overmuch later.
At the aforesaid time, the expert pushes backmost against claims that exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Michael Saylor oregon firm treasuries person “captured” Bitcoin. While those entities are important, they correspond lone a information of full marketplace activity. The bigger takeaway, helium suggests, is however ample and liquid Bitcoin has become, susceptible of absorbing monolithic flows without the benignant of volatility seen successful earlier cycles.
Looking ahead, Check shares his existent model for 2026, challenging some unsighted optimism and outright bearishness. The speech besides touches connected sovereign adoption, portfolio operation and longer-term risks that astir investors seldom deliberation about.
Watch the full interrogation with James Check connected Cointelegraph’s YouTube transmission to perceive the implicit investigation and the information down it.
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